
2030 Mexico Presidential election winner? (Party)
K 0 contracts
1
4
2030 Mexico Presidential election winner? (Party)

K 0 contracts
1
4
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 1, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Morena at 60%.
Kalshi
- Morena60%
- PAN20%
- MC10%
- PRI4.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 0 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
4
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
About This Event
in 2030 If X wins the 2030 Mexican presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Winning party: The party of the winning candidate is the party named as that candidate's party of origin in the coalition agreement registered with the National Electoral Institute, INE, for the election. X candidate registered by a single party without a coalition belongs to that party. If the agreement names no party of origin, the party of the winning candidate is the coalition party with the most votes for President in INE's district computations, after votes marked for more than one coalition party are distributed among those parties. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details. This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
