Event Group
EventKALSHI
Single EventKALSHIElections
California's 11th District margin of victory
Part of: California's 11th District margin of victoryIn 2026 If Scott Wiener wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 11th District by X percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Scott Wiener minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Scott Wiener if Scott Wiener wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if S
YesLeading Yes Probability
78%
|
VolTotal Volume
$1.15K
|
Markets
6
California's 11th District margin of victory
Yes
78%
|
Vol
$1.15K
|
Markets
6
Market Price Graph
6 markets tracked
Will the margin of victory for Scott Wiener in CA-11 be at least 1 percentage points?
kalshi
No data available
All Markets(6)
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will the margin of victory for Scott Wiener in CA-11 be at least 1 percentage points? | 78% |
Will the margin of victory for Scott Wiener in CA-11 be at least 4 percentage points? | 64% |
Will the margin of victory for Scott Wiener in CA-11 be at least 8 percentage points? | 50% |
Will the margin of victory for Scott Wiener in CA-11 be at least 12 percentage points? | 29% |
Will the margin of victory for Scott Wiener in CA-11 be at least 16 percentage points? | 14% |
Markets (6)
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