What is the current price for "California's 12th District margin of victory"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 97.0% probability.

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There are 2 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

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California's 12th District margin of victory

Yes3%

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California's 12th District margin of victory

Name: California's 12th District margin of victory
Start: 2026-10-12T04:29:05.330Z
End: 2026-11-11T04:29:05.330Z

Part of: California's 12th District margin of victory

In 2026 If Jamie Joyce wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 12th District by X percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Jamie Joyce minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Jamie Joyce if Jamie Joyce wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Jamie

YesLeading Yes Probability

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California's 12th District margin of victory

Yes

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2 markets tracked

Will the margin of victory for Jamie Joyce in CA-12 be at least 5 percentage points?

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All Markets(2)

Market	Price
Will the margin of victory for Jamie Joyce in CA-12 be at least 5 percentage points?	3%
Will the margin of victory for Jamie Joyce in CA-12 be at least 10 percentage points?	3%

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Will the margin of victory for Jamie Joyce in CA-12 be at least 5 percentage points?

If Jamie Joyce wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 12th District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percent

Will the margin of victory for Jamie Joyce in CA-12 be at least 10 percentage points?

If Jamie Joyce wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 12th District by 10 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percen