What is the current price for "California's 14th District margin of victory"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 96.7% probability.

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There are 2 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

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California's 14th District margin of victory

Yes3%

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California's 14th District margin of victory

Name: California's 14th District margin of victory
Start: 2026-10-12T04:55:12.591Z
End: 2026-11-11T04:55:12.591Z

Part of: California's 14th District margin of victory

In 2026 If Melissa Hernandez wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 14th District by X percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Melissa Hernandez minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Melissa Hernandez if Melissa Hernandez wins, or the candidate/party that

YesLeading Yes Probability

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California's 14th District margin of victory

Yes

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2 markets tracked

Will the margin of victory for Melissa Hernandez in CA-14 be at least 5 percentage points?

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All Markets(2)

Market	Price
Will the margin of victory for Melissa Hernandez in CA-14 be at least 5 percentage points?	3%
Will the margin of victory for Melissa Hernandez in CA-14 be at least 10 percentage points?	3%

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Will the margin of victory for Melissa Hernandez in CA-14 be at least 5 percentage points?

If Melissa Hernandez wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 14th District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote p

Will the margin of victory for Melissa Hernandez in CA-14 be at least 10 percentage points?

If Melissa Hernandez wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 14th District by 10 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote