What is the current price for "California's 29th District margin of victory"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 96.3% probability.

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There are 2 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

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California's 29th District margin of victory

Yes4%

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California's 29th District margin of victory

Name: California's 29th District margin of victory
Start: 2026-10-12T03:59:39.322Z
End: 2026-11-11T03:59:39.322Z

Part of: California's 29th District margin of victory

In 2026 If Angélica María Dueñas wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 29th District by X percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Angélica María Dueñas minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Angélica María Dueñas if Angélica María Dueñas wins, or the cand

YesLeading Yes Probability

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California's 29th District margin of victory

Yes

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2 markets tracked

Will the margin of victory for Angélica María Dueñas in CA-29 be at least 5 percentage points?

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All Markets(2)

Market	Price
Will the margin of victory for Angélica María Dueñas in CA-29 be at least 5 percentage points?	4%
Will the margin of victory for Angélica María Dueñas in CA-29 be at least 10 percentage points?	3%

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Will the margin of victory for Angélica María Dueñas in CA-29 be at least 5 percentage points?

If Angélica María Dueñas wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 29th District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vo

Will the margin of victory for Angélica María Dueñas in CA-29 be at least 10 percentage points?

If Angélica María Dueñas wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 29th District by 10 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the v