What is the current price for "California's 34th District margin of victory"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 94.5% probability.

How many markets are available for "California's 34th District margin of victory"?

There are 3 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "California's 34th District margin of victory"?

Total trading volume is approximately $1K.

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California's 34th District margin of victory

Yes6%

Vol$527.27

Markets3

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California's 34th District margin of victory

Name: California's 34th District margin of victory
Start: 2026-10-12T08:13:33.488Z
End: 2026-11-11T08:13:33.488Z

Part of: California's 34th District margin of victory

In 2026 If Jimmy Gomez wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 34th District by X percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Jimmy Gomez minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Jimmy Gomez if Jimmy Gomez wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Jimmy

YesLeading Yes Probability

VolTotal Volume

$527.27

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California's 34th District margin of victory

Yes

Vol

$527.27

Markets

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Market Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Will the margin of victory for Jimmy Gomez in CA-34 be at least 5 percentage points?

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All Markets(3)

Market	Price
Will the margin of victory for Jimmy Gomez in CA-34 be at least 5 percentage points?	6%
Will the margin of victory for Jimmy Gomez in CA-34 be at least 10 percentage points?	4%
Will the margin of victory for Jimmy Gomez in CA-34 be at least 15 percentage points?	3%

Markets (3)

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Will the margin of victory for Jimmy Gomez in CA-34 be at least 5 percentage points?

If Jimmy Gomez wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 34th District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percent

Will the margin of victory for Jimmy Gomez in CA-34 be at least 10 percentage points?

If Jimmy Gomez wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 34th District by 10 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percen

Will the margin of victory for Jimmy Gomez in CA-34 be at least 15 percentage points?

If Jimmy Gomez wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 34th District by 15 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percen

California's 34th District margin of victory

California's 34th District margin of victory

California's 34th District margin of victory

Market Price Graph

Will the margin of victory for Jimmy Gomez in CA-34 be at least 5 percentage points?

Rules & Resolution Criteria

Markets (3)

Will the margin of victory for Jimmy Gomez in CA-34 be at least 5 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Jimmy Gomez in CA-34 be at least 10 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Jimmy Gomez in CA-34 be at least 15 percentage points?

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