Event Group
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California's 48th District margin of victory
Part of: California's 48th District margin of victoryCalifornia's 48th District If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 48th District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party
YesLeading Yes Probability
5%
|
VolTotal Volume
$2.04
|
Markets
1
California's 48th District margin of victory

Yes
5%
|
Vol
$2.04
|
Markets
1
Market Price Graph
1 market tracked
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the California's 48th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
kalshi
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All Markets(1)
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the California's 48th District House election be at least 3 percentage points? | 5% |
Markets (1)
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