What is the current price for "Minnesota's 3rd District margin of victory"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 89.3% probability.

How many markets are available for "Minnesota's 3rd District margin of victory"?

There are 9 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

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Minnesota's 3rd District margin of victory

Yes95%

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Minnesota's 3rd District margin of victory

Name: Minnesota's 3rd District margin of victory
Start: 2026-07-10T08:48:46.806Z
End: 2026-08-09T08:48:46.806Z

Part of: Minnesota's 3rd District margin of victory

Minnesota's 3rd District If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Minnesota's 3rd District by X percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins,

YesLeading Yes Probability

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Minnesota's 3rd District margin of victory

Yes

95%

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9 markets tracked

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 3rd District House election be at least 16 percentage points?

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All Markets(9)

Market	Price
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 3rd District House election be at least 16 percentage points?	95%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 3rd District House election be at least 19 percentage points?	84%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 3rd District House election be at least 22 percentage points?	73%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 3rd District House election be at least 25 percentage points?	63%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 3rd District House election be at least 28 percentage points?	53%

Markets (9)

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Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 3rd District House election be at least 16 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Minnesota's 3rd District by 16 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 3rd District House election be at least 19 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Minnesota's 3rd District by 19 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 3rd District House election be at least 22 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Minnesota's 3rd District by 22 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 3rd District House election be at least 25 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Minnesota's 3rd District by 25 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 3rd District House election be at least 28 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Minnesota's 3rd District by 28 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 3rd District House election be at least 31 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Minnesota's 3rd District by 31 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 3rd District House election be at least 34 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Minnesota's 3rd District by 34 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 3rd District House election be at least 37 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Minnesota's 3rd District by 37 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 3rd District House election be at least 40 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Minnesota's 3rd District by 40 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote

Minnesota's 3rd District margin of victory

Minnesota's 3rd District margin of victory

Minnesota's 3rd District margin of victory

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Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 3rd District House election be at least 16 percentage points?

Rules & Resolution Criteria

Markets (9)

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 3rd District House election be at least 16 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 3rd District House election be at least 19 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 3rd District House election be at least 22 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 3rd District House election be at least 25 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 3rd District House election be at least 28 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 3rd District House election be at least 31 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 3rd District House election be at least 34 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 3rd District House election be at least 37 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 3rd District House election be at least 40 percentage points?

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