What is the current price for "New York's 1st District margin of victory"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 86.5% probability.

How many markets are available for "New York's 1st District margin of victory"?

There are 2 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "New York's 1st District margin of victory"?

Trading volume data is not currently available.

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New York's 1st District margin of victory

Yes27%

Vol$0.00

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EventKALSHI

Single EventKALSHIElections

New York's 1st District margin of victory

Name: New York's 1st District margin of victory
Start: 2026-07-10T09:46:27.974Z
End: 2026-08-09T09:46:27.974Z

Part of: New York's 1st District margin of victory

New York's 1st District If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 1st District by X percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or

YesLeading Yes Probability

27%

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New York's 1st District margin of victory

Yes

27%

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$0.00

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Market Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 1st District House election be at least 3 percentage points?

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All Markets(2)

Market	Price
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 1st District House election be at least 3 percentage points?	27%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 1st District House election be at least 6 percentage points?	13%

Markets (2)

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Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 1st District House election be at least 3 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 1st District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote pe

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 1st District House election be at least 6 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 1st District by 6 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote pe