What is the current price for "Oklahoma's 2nd District margin of victory"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 87.9% probability.

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There are 9 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

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Oklahoma's 2nd District margin of victory

Yes93%

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Oklahoma's 2nd District margin of victory

Name: Oklahoma's 2nd District margin of victory
Start: 2026-07-10T05:48:50.627Z
End: 2026-08-09T05:48:50.627Z

Part of: Oklahoma's 2nd District margin of victory

Oklahoma's 2nd District If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Oklahoma's 2nd District by X percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or

YesLeading Yes Probability

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Oklahoma's 2nd District margin of victory

Yes

93%

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9 markets tracked

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 2nd District House election be at least 31 percentage points?

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All Markets(9)

Market	Price
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 2nd District House election be at least 31 percentage points?	93%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 2nd District House election be at least 34 percentage points?	83%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 2nd District House election be at least 37 percentage points?	72%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 2nd District House election be at least 40 percentage points?	62%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 2nd District House election be at least 43 percentage points?	52%

Markets (9)

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Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 2nd District House election be at least 31 percentage points?

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Oklahoma's 2nd District by 31 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote p

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 2nd District House election be at least 34 percentage points?

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Oklahoma's 2nd District by 34 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote p

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 2nd District House election be at least 37 percentage points?

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Oklahoma's 2nd District by 37 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote p

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 2nd District House election be at least 40 percentage points?

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Oklahoma's 2nd District by 40 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote p

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 2nd District House election be at least 43 percentage points?

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Oklahoma's 2nd District by 43 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote p

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 2nd District House election be at least 46 percentage points?

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Oklahoma's 2nd District by 46 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote p

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 2nd District House election be at least 49 percentage points?

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Oklahoma's 2nd District by 49 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote p

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 2nd District House election be at least 52 percentage points?

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Oklahoma's 2nd District by 52 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote p

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 2nd District House election be at least 55 percentage points?

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Oklahoma's 2nd District by 55 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote p

Oklahoma's 2nd District margin of victory

Oklahoma's 2nd District margin of victory

Oklahoma's 2nd District margin of victory

Market Price Graph

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 2nd District House election be at least 31 percentage points?

Rules & Resolution Criteria

Markets (9)

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 2nd District House election be at least 31 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 2nd District House election be at least 34 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 2nd District House election be at least 37 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 2nd District House election be at least 40 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 2nd District House election be at least 43 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 2nd District House election be at least 46 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 2nd District House election be at least 49 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 2nd District House election be at least 52 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 2nd District House election be at least 55 percentage points?

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