What is the current price for "Oklahoma's 3rd District margin of victory"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 85.5% probability.

How many markets are available for "Oklahoma's 3rd District margin of victory"?

There are 9 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

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Oklahoma's 3rd District margin of victory

Yes93%

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Oklahoma's 3rd District margin of victory

Name: Oklahoma's 3rd District margin of victory
Start: 2026-07-10T05:48:41.658Z
End: 2026-08-09T05:48:41.658Z

Part of: Oklahoma's 3rd District margin of victory

Oklahoma's 3rd District If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Oklahoma's 3rd District by X percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or

YesLeading Yes Probability

93%

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Oklahoma's 3rd District margin of victory

Yes

93%

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9 markets tracked

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 3rd District House election be at least 24 percentage points?

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All Markets(9)

Market	Price
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 3rd District House election be at least 24 percentage points?	93%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 3rd District House election be at least 27 percentage points?	83%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 3rd District House election be at least 30 percentage points?	72%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 3rd District House election be at least 33 percentage points?	62%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 3rd District House election be at least 36 percentage points?	52%

Markets (9)

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Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 3rd District House election be at least 24 percentage points?

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Oklahoma's 3rd District by 24 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote p

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 3rd District House election be at least 27 percentage points?

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Oklahoma's 3rd District by 27 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote p

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 3rd District House election be at least 30 percentage points?

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Oklahoma's 3rd District by 30 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote p

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 3rd District House election be at least 33 percentage points?

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Oklahoma's 3rd District by 33 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote p

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 3rd District House election be at least 36 percentage points?

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Oklahoma's 3rd District by 36 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote p

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 3rd District House election be at least 39 percentage points?

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Oklahoma's 3rd District by 39 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote p

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 3rd District House election be at least 42 percentage points?

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Oklahoma's 3rd District by 42 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote p

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 3rd District House election be at least 45 percentage points?

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Oklahoma's 3rd District by 45 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote p

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 3rd District House election be at least 48 percentage points?

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Oklahoma's 3rd District by 48 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote p

Oklahoma's 3rd District margin of victory

Oklahoma's 3rd District margin of victory

Oklahoma's 3rd District margin of victory

Market Price Graph

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 3rd District House election be at least 24 percentage points?

Rules & Resolution Criteria

Markets (9)

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 3rd District House election be at least 24 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 3rd District House election be at least 27 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 3rd District House election be at least 30 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 3rd District House election be at least 33 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 3rd District House election be at least 36 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 3rd District House election be at least 39 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 3rd District House election be at least 42 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 3rd District House election be at least 45 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 3rd District House election be at least 48 percentage points?

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