What is the current price for "Oregon's 3rd District margin of victory"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 89.0% probability.

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There are 9 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

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Oregon's 3rd District margin of victory

Yes94%

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Oregon's 3rd District margin of victory

Name: Oregon's 3rd District margin of victory
Start: 2026-07-10T06:39:39.091Z
End: 2026-08-09T06:39:39.091Z

Part of: Oregon's 3rd District margin of victory

Oregon's 3rd District If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Oregon's 3rd District by X percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the

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Oregon's 3rd District margin of victory

Yes

94%

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9 markets tracked

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 3rd District House election be at least 38 percentage points?

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All Markets(9)

Market	Price
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 3rd District House election be at least 38 percentage points?	94%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 3rd District House election be at least 41 percentage points?	85%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 3rd District House election be at least 44 percentage points?	74%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 3rd District House election be at least 47 percentage points?	64%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 3rd District House election be at least 50 percentage points?	53%

Markets (9)

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Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 3rd District House election be at least 38 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Oregon's 3rd District by 38 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote per

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 3rd District House election be at least 41 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Oregon's 3rd District by 41 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote per

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 3rd District House election be at least 44 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Oregon's 3rd District by 44 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote per

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 3rd District House election be at least 47 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Oregon's 3rd District by 47 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote per

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 3rd District House election be at least 50 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Oregon's 3rd District by 50 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote per

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 3rd District House election be at least 53 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Oregon's 3rd District by 53 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote per

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 3rd District House election be at least 56 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Oregon's 3rd District by 56 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote per

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 3rd District House election be at least 59 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Oregon's 3rd District by 59 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote per

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 3rd District House election be at least 62 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Oregon's 3rd District by 62 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote per

Oregon's 3rd District margin of victory

Oregon's 3rd District margin of victory

Oregon's 3rd District margin of victory

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Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 3rd District House election be at least 38 percentage points?

Rules & Resolution Criteria

Markets (9)

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 3rd District House election be at least 38 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 3rd District House election be at least 41 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 3rd District House election be at least 44 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 3rd District House election be at least 47 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 3rd District House election be at least 50 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 3rd District House election be at least 53 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 3rd District House election be at least 56 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 3rd District House election be at least 59 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 3rd District House election be at least 62 percentage points?

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