What is the current price for "Virginia's 2nd District margin of victory"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 94.9% probability.

How many markets are available for "Virginia's 2nd District margin of victory"?

There are 2 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "Virginia's 2nd District margin of victory"?

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Virginia's 2nd District margin of victory

Yes11%

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EventKALSHI

Single EventKALSHIElections

Virginia's 2nd District margin of victory

Name: Virginia's 2nd District margin of victory
Start: 2026-07-10T09:46:38.872Z
End: 2026-08-09T09:46:38.872Z

Part of: Virginia's 2nd District margin of victory

Virginia's 2nd District If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Virginia's 2nd District by X percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or

YesLeading Yes Probability

11%

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Virginia's 2nd District margin of victory

Yes

11%

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2 markets tracked

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?

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All Markets(2)

Market	Price
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?	11%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 2nd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?	5%

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Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Virginia's 2nd District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote pe

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 2nd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Virginia's 2nd District by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote pe