What is the current price for "Washington's 3rd District margin of victory"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 96.3% probability.

How many markets are available for "Washington's 3rd District margin of victory"?

There are 2 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "Washington's 3rd District margin of victory"?

Total trading volume is approximately $0K.

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Washington's 3rd District margin of victory

Yes6%

Vol$400.00

Markets2

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Single EventKALSHIElections

Washington's 3rd District margin of victory

Name: Washington's 3rd District margin of victory
Start: 2026-10-12T03:37:16.311Z
End: 2026-11-11T03:37:16.311Z

Part of: Washington's 3rd District margin of victory

Washington's 3rd District If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Washington's 3rd District by X percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins

YesLeading Yes Probability

VolTotal Volume

$400.00

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Washington's 3rd District margin of victory

Yes

Vol

$400.00

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Market Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Washington's 3rd District House election be at least 2 percentage points?

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All Markets(2)

Market	Price
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Washington's 3rd District House election be at least 2 percentage points?	6%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Washington's 3rd District House election be at least 5 percentage points?	4%

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Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Washington's 3rd District House election be at least 2 percentage points?

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Washington's 3rd District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Washington's 3rd District House election be at least 5 percentage points?

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Washington's 3rd District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote