What is the current price for "Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 91.0% probability.

How many markets are available for "Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?"?

There are 17 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?"?

Trading volume data is not currently available.

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Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?

Yes54%

Vol$0.00

Markets17

54%

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Event Group

EventKALSHI

Single EventKALSHIPolitics

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?

Name: Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?
Start: 2026-08-24T08:45:28.306Z
End: 2026-09-23T08:45:28.306Z

Part of: Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?

Next Secretary of Defense If the next new Secretary of Defense before Jan 20, 2029 is X then the market resolves to Yes. Acting and Interim positions don't count. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

YesLeading Yes Probability

54%

VolTotal Volume

$0.00

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Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?

Yes

54%

Vol

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Market Price Graph

17 markets tracked

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (No other person)

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All Markets(17)

Market	Price
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (No other person)	54%
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (Dan Driscoll)	9%
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (Joni Ernst)	6%
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (Ron DeSantis)	6%
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (Steve Feinberg)	5%

Markets (17)

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KALSHIPolitics

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (No other person)

If the next new Secretary of Defense before Jan 20, 2029 is no other person, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Acting and Interim positions don't count. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (Dan Driscoll)

If the next new Secretary of Defense before Jan 20, 2029 is Dan Driscoll, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Acting and Interim positions don't count. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (Joni Ernst)

If the next new Secretary of Defense before Jan 20, 2029 is Joni Ernst, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Acting and Interim positions don't count. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (Ron DeSantis)

If the next new Secretary of Defense before Jan 20, 2029 is Ron DeSantis, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Acting and Interim positions don't count. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (Steve Feinberg)

If the next new Secretary of Defense before Jan 20, 2029 is Steve Feinberg, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Acting and Interim positions don't count. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (Mike Rogers)

If the next new Secretary of Defense before Jan 20, 2029 is Mike Rogers, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Acting and Interim positions don't count. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (Wesley Hunt)

If the next new Secretary of Defense before Jan 20, 2029 is Wesley Hunt, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Acting and Interim positions don't count. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (Mike Pompeo)

If the next new Secretary of Defense before Jan 20, 2029 is Mike Pompeo, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Acting and Interim positions don't count. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (Elbridge Colby)

If the next new Secretary of Defense before Jan 20, 2029 is Elbridge Colby, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Acting and Interim positions don't count. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (Keith Kellogg)

If the next new Secretary of Defense before Jan 20, 2029 is Keith Kellogg, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Acting and Interim positions don't count. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (Tom Cotton)

If the next new Secretary of Defense before Jan 20, 2029 is Tom Cotton, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Acting and Interim positions don't count. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (Trae Stephens)

If the next new Secretary of Defense before Jan 20, 2029 is Trae Stephens, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Acting and Interim positions don't count. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (Mike Gallagher)

If the next new Secretary of Defense before Jan 20, 2029 is Mike Gallagher, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Acting and Interim positions don't count. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (Christopher Miller)

If the next new Secretary of Defense before Jan 20, 2029 is Christopher Miller, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Acting and Interim positions don't count. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (Bill Hagerty)

If the next new Secretary of Defense before Jan 20, 2029 is Bill Hagerty, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Acting and Interim positions don't count. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (Mike Waltz)

If the next new Secretary of Defense before Jan 20, 2029 is Mike Waltz, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Acting and Interim positions don't count. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (Tulsi Gabbard)

If the next new Secretary of Defense before Jan 20, 2029 is Tulsi Gabbard, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Acting and Interim positions don't count. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.