What is the current price for "Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 97.5% probability.

How many markets are available for "Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?"?

There are 16 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?"?

Total trading volume is approximately $10K.

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?

Name: Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?
Start: 2026-01-16T14:00:56.231Z
End: 2026-02-15T14:00:56.231Z

Market Price Graph

16 markets tracked

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (No other person)

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No data available

All Markets(16)

Market	Price
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (No other person)	42%
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (Ron DeSantis)	16%
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (Joni Ernst)	6%
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (Steve Feinberg)	5%
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (Tom Cotton)	4%

Markets (16)

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KALSHIPolitics

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (No other person)

If the next new Secretary of Defense before Jan 20, 2029 is no other person, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Acting and Interim positions don't count. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (Ron DeSantis)

If Secretary of Defense is Ron DeSantis before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Acting and Interim positions don't count. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (Joni Ernst)

If Secretary of Defense is Joni Ernst before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Acting and Interim positions don't count. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (Steve Feinberg)

If Secretary of Defense is Steve Feinberg before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Acting and Interim positions don't count. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (Tom Cotton)

If Secretary of Defense is Tom Cotton before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Acting and Interim positions don't count. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (Wesley Hunt)

If Secretary of Defense is Wesley Hunt before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Acting and Interim positions don't count. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (Mike Gallagher)

If Secretary of Defense is Mike Gallagher before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Acting and Interim positions don't count. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (Elbridge Colby)

If Secretary of Defense is Elbridge Colby before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Acting and Interim positions don't count. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (Christopher Miller)

If Secretary of Defense is Christopher Miller before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Acting and Interim positions don't count. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (Bill Hagerty)

If Secretary of Defense is Bill Hagerty before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Acting and Interim positions don't count. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (Tulsi Gabbard)

If Secretary of Defense is Tulsi Gabbard before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Acting and Interim positions don't count. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (Keith Kellogg)

If Secretary of Defense is Keith Kellogg before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Acting and Interim positions don't count. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (Trae Stephens)

If Secretary of Defense is Trae Stephens before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Acting and Interim positions don't count. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (Mike Pompeo)

If Secretary of Defense is Mike Pompeo before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Acting and Interim positions don't count. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (Mike Waltz)

If Secretary of Defense is Mike Waltz before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Acting and Interim positions don't count. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (Mike Rogers)

If Secretary of Defense is Mike Rogers before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Acting and Interim positions don't count. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.