What is the current price for "Oscar for Best Adapted Screenplay?"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 99.5% probability.

How many markets are available for "Oscar for Best Adapted Screenplay?"?

There are 16 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "Oscar for Best Adapted Screenplay?"?

Total trading volume is approximately $116K.

Oscar for Best Adapted Screenplay?

Name: Oscar for Best Adapted Screenplay?
Start: 2026-01-15T08:39:39.612Z
End: 2026-02-14T08:39:39.612Z

Market Price Graph

16 markets tracked

Will One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?

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All Markets(16)

Market	Price
Will One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?	91%
Will Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?	6%
Will Frankenstein win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?	2%
Will Train Dreams win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?	1%
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?	1%

Markets (16)

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Will One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?

If One Battle After Another has won Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 98th Academy Awards are expected to be held on March 15, 2026.

Will Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?

If Hamnet has won Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 98th Academy Awards are expected to be held on March 15, 2026.

Will Frankenstein win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?

If Frankenstein has won Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 98th Academy Awards are expected to be held on March 15, 2026.

Will Train Dreams win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?

If Train Dreams has won Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 98th Academy Awards are expected to be held on March 15, 2026.

Will Wicked: For Good win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?

If Wicked: For Good has won Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 98th Academy Awards are expected to be held on March 15, 2026.

Will Wake Up Dead Man win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?

If Wake Up Dead Man has won Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 98th Academy Awards are expected to be held on March 15, 2026.

Will Tie win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?

If Tie has won Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 98th Academy Awards are expected to be held on March 15, 2026.

Will Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?

If Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere has won Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 98th Academy Awards are expected to be held on March 15, 2026.

Will Nuremberg win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?

If Nuremberg has won Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 98th Academy Awards are expected to be held on March 15, 2026.

Will Nouvelle Vague win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?

If Nouvelle Vague has won Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 98th Academy Awards are expected to be held on March 15, 2026.

Will No Other Choice win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?

If No Other Choice has won Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 98th Academy Awards are expected to be held on March 15, 2026.

Will The Life of Chuck win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?

If The Life of Chuck has won Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 98th Academy Awards are expected to be held on March 15, 2026.

Will Is This Thing On? win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?

If Is This Thing On? has won Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 98th Academy Awards are expected to be held on March 15, 2026.

Will Hedda win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?

If Hedda has won Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 98th Academy Awards are expected to be held on March 15, 2026.

Will Bugonia win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?

If Bugonia has won Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 98th Academy Awards are expected to be held on March 15, 2026.

Will Ballad of a Small Player win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?

If Ballad of a Small Player has won Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The 98th Academy Awards are expected to be held on March 15, 2026.