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When will the first listed Democrat announce a 2028 presidential run?

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EventKALSHI

When will the first listed Democrat announce a 2028 presidential run?

When will the first listed Democrat announce a 2028 presidential run?
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Vol

4.9K contracts

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Markets

8

Market snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination before Jan 1, 2028?

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All Markets(8)
MarketOutcome price
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination before Jan 1, 2028?
Yes 97.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination before Sep 1, 2027?
Yes 97.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination before Jun 1, 2027?
Yes 96.0%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination before Apr 1, 2027?
Yes 94.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination before Mar 1, 2027?
Yes 93.0%

Event Overview

2028 Democratic presidential nomination If at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination after Issuance and before X 1, Y then the market resolves to Yes. Announcing a run means a listed person publicly announces, themselves or through their official campaign, that they are running for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. X later withdrawal does not undo an announcement. Filing with the Federal Election Commission without a public announcement, forming an exploratory committee, saying they are considering a run, and a run for another party's nomination or as an independent do NOT count. The listed Democrats are the following 44 people, and no one else will be added: Andy Beshear, Hunter Biden, Cory Booker, Pete Buttigieg, Hillary Clinton, Roy Cooper, Jasmine Crockett, Mark Cuban, Abdul El-Sayed, Rahm Emanuel, Shawn Fain, John Fetterman, Ruben Gallego, Kamala Harris, David Jolly, Mark Kelly, Ro Khanna, Amy Klobuchar, Mitch Landrieu, Wes Moore, Chris Murphy, Phil Murphy, Gavin Newsom, Beto O'Rourke, Michelle Obama, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Dean Phillips, Graham Platner, Jared Polis, J.B. Pritzker, Gina Raimondo, Josh Shapiro, Mikie Sherrill, Elissa Slotkin, Stephen A. Smith, Abigail Spanberger, Jon Stewart, James Talarico, Chris Van Hollen, Tim Walz, Raphael Warnock, Elizabeth Warren and Gretchen Whitmer. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications, from before Issuance, do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources, e.g., wire services, only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

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Markets (8)

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KALSHIPolitics
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination before Jan 1, 2028?

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination before Jan 1, 2028?

If at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Announcing a run means a listed person publicly announces, themselves or through their official campaign, that they are running for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. A later withdrawal does not undo an announcement. Filing with the Federal Election Commission without a public announcement, forming an exploratory committee, saying they are considering a run, and a run for another party's nomination or as an independent do NOT count. The listed Democrats are the following 44 people, and no one else will be added: Andy Beshear, Hunter Biden, Cory Booker, Pete Buttigieg, Hillary Clinton, Roy Cooper, Jasmine Crockett, Mark Cuban, Abdul El-Sayed, Rahm Emanuel, Shawn Fain, John Fetterman, Ruben Gallego, Kamala Harris, David Jolly, Mark Kelly, Ro Khanna, Amy Klobuchar, Mitch Landrieu, Wes Moore, Chris Murphy, Phil Murphy, Gavin Newsom, Beto O'Rourke, Michelle Obama, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Dean Phillips, Graham Platner, Jared Polis, J.B. Pritzker, Gina Raimondo, Josh Shapiro, Mikie Sherrill, Elissa Slotkin, Stephen A. Smith, Abigail Spanberger, Jon Stewart, James Talarico, Chris Van Hollen, Tim Walz, Raphael Warnock, Elizabeth Warren and Gretchen Whitmer. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome97.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 08, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination before Sep 1, 2027?

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination before Sep 1, 2027?

If at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination after Issuance and before Sep 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Announcing a run means a listed person publicly announces, themselves or through their official campaign, that they are running for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. A later withdrawal does not undo an announcement. Filing with the Federal Election Commission without a public announcement, forming an exploratory committee, saying they are considering a run, and a run for another party's nomination or as an independent do NOT count. The listed Democrats are the following 44 people, and no one else will be added: Andy Beshear, Hunter Biden, Cory Booker, Pete Buttigieg, Hillary Clinton, Roy Cooper, Jasmine Crockett, Mark Cuban, Abdul El-Sayed, Rahm Emanuel, Shawn Fain, John Fetterman, Ruben Gallego, Kamala Harris, David Jolly, Mark Kelly, Ro Khanna, Amy Klobuchar, Mitch Landrieu, Wes Moore, Chris Murphy, Phil Murphy, Gavin Newsom, Beto O'Rourke, Michelle Obama, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Dean Phillips, Graham Platner, Jared Polis, J.B. Pritzker, Gina Raimondo, Josh Shapiro, Mikie Sherrill, Elissa Slotkin, Stephen A. Smith, Abigail Spanberger, Jon Stewart, James Talarico, Chris Van Hollen, Tim Walz, Raphael Warnock, Elizabeth Warren and Gretchen Whitmer. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome97.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateSep 08, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination before Jun 1, 2027?

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination before Jun 1, 2027?

If at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination after Issuance and before Jun 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Announcing a run means a listed person publicly announces, themselves or through their official campaign, that they are running for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. A later withdrawal does not undo an announcement. Filing with the Federal Election Commission without a public announcement, forming an exploratory committee, saying they are considering a run, and a run for another party's nomination or as an independent do NOT count. The listed Democrats are the following 44 people, and no one else will be added: Andy Beshear, Hunter Biden, Cory Booker, Pete Buttigieg, Hillary Clinton, Roy Cooper, Jasmine Crockett, Mark Cuban, Abdul El-Sayed, Rahm Emanuel, Shawn Fain, John Fetterman, Ruben Gallego, Kamala Harris, David Jolly, Mark Kelly, Ro Khanna, Amy Klobuchar, Mitch Landrieu, Wes Moore, Chris Murphy, Phil Murphy, Gavin Newsom, Beto O'Rourke, Michelle Obama, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Dean Phillips, Graham Platner, Jared Polis, J.B. Pritzker, Gina Raimondo, Josh Shapiro, Mikie Sherrill, Elissa Slotkin, Stephen A. Smith, Abigail Spanberger, Jon Stewart, James Talarico, Chris Van Hollen, Tim Walz, Raphael Warnock, Elizabeth Warren and Gretchen Whitmer. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome96.0%
Yes
Volume1.53 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJun 08, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination before Apr 1, 2027?

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination before Apr 1, 2027?

If at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Announcing a run means a listed person publicly announces, themselves or through their official campaign, that they are running for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. A later withdrawal does not undo an announcement. Filing with the Federal Election Commission without a public announcement, forming an exploratory committee, saying they are considering a run, and a run for another party's nomination or as an independent do NOT count. The listed Democrats are the following 44 people, and no one else will be added: Andy Beshear, Hunter Biden, Cory Booker, Pete Buttigieg, Hillary Clinton, Roy Cooper, Jasmine Crockett, Mark Cuban, Abdul El-Sayed, Rahm Emanuel, Shawn Fain, John Fetterman, Ruben Gallego, Kamala Harris, David Jolly, Mark Kelly, Ro Khanna, Amy Klobuchar, Mitch Landrieu, Wes Moore, Chris Murphy, Phil Murphy, Gavin Newsom, Beto O'Rourke, Michelle Obama, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Dean Phillips, Graham Platner, Jared Polis, J.B. Pritzker, Gina Raimondo, Josh Shapiro, Mikie Sherrill, Elissa Slotkin, Stephen A. Smith, Abigail Spanberger, Jon Stewart, James Talarico, Chris Van Hollen, Tim Walz, Raphael Warnock, Elizabeth Warren and Gretchen Whitmer. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome94.5%
Yes
Volume129.18 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateApr 08, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination before Mar 1, 2027?

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination before Mar 1, 2027?

If at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination after Issuance and before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Announcing a run means a listed person publicly announces, themselves or through their official campaign, that they are running for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. A later withdrawal does not undo an announcement. Filing with the Federal Election Commission without a public announcement, forming an exploratory committee, saying they are considering a run, and a run for another party's nomination or as an independent do NOT count. The listed Democrats are the following 44 people, and no one else will be added: Andy Beshear, Hunter Biden, Cory Booker, Pete Buttigieg, Hillary Clinton, Roy Cooper, Jasmine Crockett, Mark Cuban, Abdul El-Sayed, Rahm Emanuel, Shawn Fain, John Fetterman, Ruben Gallego, Kamala Harris, David Jolly, Mark Kelly, Ro Khanna, Amy Klobuchar, Mitch Landrieu, Wes Moore, Chris Murphy, Phil Murphy, Gavin Newsom, Beto O'Rourke, Michelle Obama, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Dean Phillips, Graham Platner, Jared Polis, J.B. Pritzker, Gina Raimondo, Josh Shapiro, Mikie Sherrill, Elissa Slotkin, Stephen A. Smith, Abigail Spanberger, Jon Stewart, James Talarico, Chris Van Hollen, Tim Walz, Raphael Warnock, Elizabeth Warren and Gretchen Whitmer. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome93.0%
Yes
Volume213.62 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateMar 08, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination before Feb 1, 2027?

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination before Feb 1, 2027?

If at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination after Issuance and before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Announcing a run means a listed person publicly announces, themselves or through their official campaign, that they are running for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. A later withdrawal does not undo an announcement. Filing with the Federal Election Commission without a public announcement, forming an exploratory committee, saying they are considering a run, and a run for another party's nomination or as an independent do NOT count. The listed Democrats are the following 44 people, and no one else will be added: Andy Beshear, Hunter Biden, Cory Booker, Pete Buttigieg, Hillary Clinton, Roy Cooper, Jasmine Crockett, Mark Cuban, Abdul El-Sayed, Rahm Emanuel, Shawn Fain, John Fetterman, Ruben Gallego, Kamala Harris, David Jolly, Mark Kelly, Ro Khanna, Amy Klobuchar, Mitch Landrieu, Wes Moore, Chris Murphy, Phil Murphy, Gavin Newsom, Beto O'Rourke, Michelle Obama, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Dean Phillips, Graham Platner, Jared Polis, J.B. Pritzker, Gina Raimondo, Josh Shapiro, Mikie Sherrill, Elissa Slotkin, Stephen A. Smith, Abigail Spanberger, Jon Stewart, James Talarico, Chris Van Hollen, Tim Walz, Raphael Warnock, Elizabeth Warren and Gretchen Whitmer. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome76.0%
Yes
Volume1.8K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 08, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination before Jan 1, 2027?

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination before Jan 1, 2027?

If at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Announcing a run means a listed person publicly announces, themselves or through their official campaign, that they are running for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. A later withdrawal does not undo an announcement. Filing with the Federal Election Commission without a public announcement, forming an exploratory committee, saying they are considering a run, and a run for another party's nomination or as an independent do NOT count. The listed Democrats are the following 44 people, and no one else will be added: Andy Beshear, Hunter Biden, Cory Booker, Pete Buttigieg, Hillary Clinton, Roy Cooper, Jasmine Crockett, Mark Cuban, Abdul El-Sayed, Rahm Emanuel, Shawn Fain, John Fetterman, Ruben Gallego, Kamala Harris, David Jolly, Mark Kelly, Ro Khanna, Amy Klobuchar, Mitch Landrieu, Wes Moore, Chris Murphy, Phil Murphy, Gavin Newsom, Beto O'Rourke, Michelle Obama, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Dean Phillips, Graham Platner, Jared Polis, J.B. Pritzker, Gina Raimondo, Josh Shapiro, Mikie Sherrill, Elissa Slotkin, Stephen A. Smith, Abigail Spanberger, Jon Stewart, James Talarico, Chris Van Hollen, Tim Walz, Raphael Warnock, Elizabeth Warren and Gretchen Whitmer. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome55.0%
Yes
Volume2.6K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 08, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination before Dec 1, 2026?

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination before Dec 1, 2026?

If at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination after Issuance and before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Announcing a run means a listed person publicly announces, themselves or through their official campaign, that they are running for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. A later withdrawal does not undo an announcement. Filing with the Federal Election Commission without a public announcement, forming an exploratory committee, saying they are considering a run, and a run for another party's nomination or as an independent do NOT count. The listed Democrats are the following 44 people, and no one else will be added: Andy Beshear, Hunter Biden, Cory Booker, Pete Buttigieg, Hillary Clinton, Roy Cooper, Jasmine Crockett, Mark Cuban, Abdul El-Sayed, Rahm Emanuel, Shawn Fain, John Fetterman, Ruben Gallego, Kamala Harris, David Jolly, Mark Kelly, Ro Khanna, Amy Klobuchar, Mitch Landrieu, Wes Moore, Chris Murphy, Phil Murphy, Gavin Newsom, Beto O'Rourke, Michelle Obama, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Dean Phillips, Graham Platner, Jared Polis, J.B. Pritzker, Gina Raimondo, Josh Shapiro, Mikie Sherrill, Elissa Slotkin, Stephen A. Smith, Abigail Spanberger, Jon Stewart, James Talarico, Chris Van Hollen, Tim Walz, Raphael Warnock, Elizabeth Warren and Gretchen Whitmer. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome20.0%
Yes
Volume108.21 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 08, 2026
View Details

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