
When will the first listed Democrat announce a 2028 presidential run?
K 4.9K contracts
1
8
When will the first listed Democrat announce a 2028 presidential run?

K 4.9K contracts
1
8
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Before Jan 1, 2028 at 97.5%.
Kalshi
- Before Jan 1, 202897.5%
- Before Sep 1, 202797.5%
- Before Jun 1, 202796%
- Before Apr 1, 202794.5%
- Before Mar 1, 202793%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 4.9K contracts
Reported volume ยท provider units
8
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
2028 Democratic presidential nomination If at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination after Issuance and before X 1, Y then the market resolves to Yes. Announcing a run means a listed person publicly announces, themselves or through their official campaign, that they are running for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. X later withdrawal does not undo an announcement. Filing with the Federal Election Commission without a public announcement, forming an exploratory committee, saying they are considering a run, and a run for another party's nomination or as an independent do NOT count. The listed Democrats are the following 44 people, and no one else will be added: Andy Beshear, Hunter Biden, Cory Booker, Pete Buttigieg, Hillary Clinton, Roy Cooper, Jasmine Crockett, Mark Cuban, Abdul El-Sayed, Rahm Emanuel, Shawn Fain, John Fetterman, Ruben Gallego, Kamala Harris, David Jolly, Mark Kelly, Ro Khanna, Amy Klobuchar, Mitch Landrieu, Wes Moore, Chris Murphy, Phil Murphy, Gavin Newsom, Beto O'Rourke, Michelle Obama, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Dean Phillips, Graham Platner, Jared Polis, J.B. Pritzker, Gina Raimondo, Josh Shapiro, Mikie Sherrill, Elissa Slotkin, Stephen A. Smith, Abigail Spanberger, Jon Stewart, James Talarico, Chris Van Hollen, Tim Walz, Raphael Warnock, Elizabeth Warren and Gretchen Whitmer. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications, from before Issuance, do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources, e.g., wire services, only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?
PM $17.4K
When will the first listed Republican announce a 2028 presidential run?
K 1.9K contracts
Who will be the first Republican listed to announce a presidential run?
K 1.8K contracts
Which of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?
PM $19.6K
Will Chris Van Hollen announce a presidential run?
K 19.7K contracts
Will Chris Christie announce a presidential run?
K 16.3K contractsMarket Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
