What is the current price for "CA-32 Primary margin of victory?"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 99.5% probability.

How many markets are available for "CA-32 Primary margin of victory?"?

There are 6 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

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CA-32 Primary margin of victory?

Yes100%

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CA-32 Primary margin of victory?

Name: CA-32 Primary margin of victory?
Start: 2026-07-10T05:44:30.574Z
End: 2026-08-09T05:44:30.574Z

Part of: CA-32 Primary margin of victory?

On Jun 2, 2026 If the margin of victory X 2026 California 32nd Congressional District primary falls within Y to Z inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received X minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Y if Y wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if

YesLeading Yes Probability

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CA-32 Primary margin of victory?

Yes

100%

Vol

$0.00

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Market Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will the margin of victory for Brad Sherman in the 2026 California 32nd Congressional District primary be between 0% and 5%?

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All Markets(6)

Market	Price
Will the margin of victory for Brad Sherman in the 2026 California 32nd Congressional District primary be between 0% and 5%?	100%
Will the margin of victory for Brad Sherman in the 2026 California 32nd Congressional District primary be between 5% and 10%?	2%
Will the margin of victory for Larry Thompson in the 2026 California 32nd Congressional District primary be above 0%?	1%
Will the margin of victory for Brad Sherman in the 2026 California 32nd Congressional District primary be above 20%?	1%
Will the margin of victory for Brad Sherman in the 2026 California 32nd Congressional District primary be between 15% and 20%?	1%

Markets (6)

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Will the margin of victory for Brad Sherman in the 2026 California 32nd Congressional District primary be between 0% and 5%?

If the margin of victory for Brad Sherman in the 2026 California 32nd Congressional District primary falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on t

Will the margin of victory for Brad Sherman in the 2026 California 32nd Congressional District primary be between 5% and 10%?

If the margin of victory for Brad Sherman in the 2026 California 32nd Congressional District primary falls within 5% to 10%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on

Will the margin of victory for Larry Thompson in the 2026 California 32nd Congressional District primary be above 0%?

If the margin of victory for Larry Thompson in the 2026 California 32nd Congressional District primary falls within 0% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based

Will the margin of victory for Brad Sherman in the 2026 California 32nd Congressional District primary be above 20%?

If the margin of victory for Brad Sherman in the 2026 California 32nd Congressional District primary falls within 20% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based o

Will the margin of victory for Brad Sherman in the 2026 California 32nd Congressional District primary be between 15% and 20%?

If the margin of victory for Brad Sherman in the 2026 California 32nd Congressional District primary falls within 15% to 20%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on

Will the margin of victory for Brad Sherman in the 2026 California 32nd Congressional District primary be between 10% and 15%?

If the margin of victory for Brad Sherman in the 2026 California 32nd Congressional District primary falls within 10% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on

CA-32 Primary margin of victory?

CA-32 Primary margin of victory?

CA-32 Primary margin of victory?

Market Price Graph

Will the margin of victory for Brad Sherman in the 2026 California 32nd Congressional District primary be between 0% and 5%?

Rules & Resolution Criteria

Markets (6)

Will the margin of victory for Brad Sherman in the 2026 California 32nd Congressional District primary be between 0% and 5%?

Will the margin of victory for Brad Sherman in the 2026 California 32nd Congressional District primary be between 5% and 10%?

Will the margin of victory for Larry Thompson in the 2026 California 32nd Congressional District primary be above 0%?

Will the margin of victory for Brad Sherman in the 2026 California 32nd Congressional District primary be above 20%?

Will the margin of victory for Brad Sherman in the 2026 California 32nd Congressional District primary be between 15% and 20%?

Will the margin of victory for Brad Sherman in the 2026 California 32nd Congressional District primary be between 10% and 15%?

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