
Will James Talarico's Texas Senate margin minus Nithya Raman's LA mayoral margin be between 0.01 and 5 points?
If James Talarico's margin in the Texas U.S. Senate election minus Nithya Raman's margin in the Los Angeles mayoral election is between 0.01 and 5 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the results of both races are certified.







