Market snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

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Event GroupKALSHIElections

Raman's LA margin vs. Talarico's Texas margin?

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Raman's LA margin vs. Talarico's Texas margin?

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Snapshot from Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

As of Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Talarico by 0-5 at 23%.

Kalshi

Talarico by 0-523%
Talarico by 5-1021%
Raman by 5-1021%
Raman by 0-521%
Talarico by 10-157.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

8 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will James Talarico's Texas Senate margin minus Nithya Raman's LA mayoral margin be between 0.01 and 5 points?

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Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will James Talarico's Texas Senate margin minus Nithya Raman's LA mayoral margin be between 0.01 and 5 points?	Kalshi	23.0%
Will James Talarico's Texas Senate margin minus Nithya Raman's LA mayoral margin be between 5 and 10 points?	Kalshi	21.0%
Will Nithya Raman's LA mayoral margin minus James Talarico's Texas Senate margin be between 5 and 10 points?	Kalshi	21.0%
Will Nithya Raman's LA mayoral margin minus James Talarico's Texas Senate margin be between 0 and 5 points?	Kalshi	21.0%
Will James Talarico's Texas Senate margin minus Nithya Raman's LA mayoral margin be between 10 and 15 points?	Kalshi	7.5%
Will Nithya Raman's LA mayoral margin minus James Talarico's Texas Senate margin be between 10 and 15 points?	Kalshi	6.5%
Will James Talarico's Texas Senate margin minus Nithya Raman's LA mayoral margin be at least 15 points?	Kalshi	4.5%
Will Nithya Raman's LA mayoral margin minus James Talarico's Texas Senate margin be at least 15 points?	Kalshi	4.5%

Rules & Resolution

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K 0 contracts

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Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

About This Event

On Nov 3, 2026 If James Talarico's margin in the Texas U.S. Senate election minus Nithya Raman's margin in the Los Angeles mayoral election is between X and Y percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. X margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number. This market will close and expire early if the results of both races are certified.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Raman's LA margin vs. Talarico's Texas margin?
Source snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 0 contracts
Coverage: 8 of 8 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will James Talarico's Texas Senate margin minus Nithya Raman's LA mayoral margin be between 5 and 10 points?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXRAMANTALARICO-27JAN08-R-9.99; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxramantalarico-27jan08
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Apr 8, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 21.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 79.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If James Talarico's margin in the Texas U.S. Senate election minus Nithya Raman's margin in the Los Angeles mayoral election is between 5 and 10 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the results of both races are certified.

Contract: Will Nithya Raman's LA mayoral margin minus James Talarico's Texas Senate margin be between 5 and 10 points?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXRAMANTALARICO-27JAN08-R5; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxramantalarico-27jan08
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Apr 8, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 21.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 79.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Nithya Raman's margin in the Los Angeles mayoral election minus James Talarico's margin in the Texas U.S. Senate election is between 5 and 10 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the results of both races are certified.

Contract: Will James Talarico's Texas Senate margin minus Nithya Raman's LA mayoral margin be between 0.01 and 5 points?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXRAMANTALARICO-27JAN08-R-4.99; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxramantalarico-27jan08
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Apr 8, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 23.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 77.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If James Talarico's margin in the Texas U.S. Senate election minus Nithya Raman's margin in the Los Angeles mayoral election is between 0.01 and 5 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the results of both races are certified.

Contract: Will James Talarico's Texas Senate margin minus Nithya Raman's LA mayoral margin be at least 15 points?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXRAMANTALARICO-27JAN08-R-200; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxramantalarico-27jan08
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Apr 8, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 4.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If James Talarico's margin in the Texas U.S. Senate election minus Nithya Raman's margin in the Los Angeles mayoral election is at least 15 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the results of both races are certified.

Contract: Will James Talarico's Texas Senate margin minus Nithya Raman's LA mayoral margin be between 10 and 15 points?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXRAMANTALARICO-27JAN08-R-14.99; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxramantalarico-27jan08
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Apr 8, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 7.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 92.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If James Talarico's margin in the Texas U.S. Senate election minus Nithya Raman's margin in the Los Angeles mayoral election is between 10 and 15 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the results of both races are certified.

Contract: Will Nithya Raman's LA mayoral margin minus James Talarico's Texas Senate margin be between 10 and 15 points?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXRAMANTALARICO-27JAN08-R10; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxramantalarico-27jan08
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Apr 8, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 6.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 93.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Nithya Raman's margin in the Los Angeles mayoral election minus James Talarico's margin in the Texas U.S. Senate election is between 10 and 15 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the results of both races are certified.

Contract: Will Nithya Raman's LA mayoral margin minus James Talarico's Texas Senate margin be between 0 and 5 points?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXRAMANTALARICO-27JAN08-R0; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxramantalarico-27jan08
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Apr 8, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 21.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 79.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Nithya Raman's margin in the Los Angeles mayoral election minus James Talarico's margin in the Texas U.S. Senate election is between 0 and 5 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the results of both races are certified.

Contract: Will Nithya Raman's LA mayoral margin minus James Talarico's Texas Senate margin be at least 15 points?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXRAMANTALARICO-27JAN08-AL15; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxramantalarico-27jan08
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Apr 8, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 4.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Nithya Raman's margin in the Los Angeles mayoral election minus James Talarico's margin in the Texas U.S. Senate election is at least 15 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the results of both races are certified.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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KALSHIElections

Raman's LA margin vs. Talarico's Texas margin?

Volume$0.00

Markets8

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Will James Talarico's Texas Senate margin minus Nithya Raman's LA mayoral margin be between 0.01 and 5 points?

kalshi

Will James Talarico's Texas Senate margin minus Nithya Raman's LA mayoral margin be between 0.01 and 5 points?

Yes: 23.0¢
No: 77.0¢

Will James Talarico's Texas Senate margin minus Nithya Raman's LA mayoral margin be between 5 and 10 points?

kalshi

Will James Talarico's Texas Senate margin minus Nithya Raman's LA mayoral margin be between 5 and 10 points?

Yes: 21.0¢
No: 79.0¢

Will Nithya Raman's LA mayoral margin minus James Talarico's Texas Senate margin be between 5 and 10 points?

kalshi

Will Nithya Raman's LA mayoral margin minus James Talarico's Texas Senate margin be between 5 and 10 points?

Yes: 21.0¢
No: 79.0¢

Will Nithya Raman's LA mayoral margin minus James Talarico's Texas Senate margin be between 0 and 5 points?

kalshi

Will Nithya Raman's LA mayoral margin minus James Talarico's Texas Senate margin be between 0 and 5 points?

Yes: 21.0¢
No: 79.0¢

Will James Talarico's Texas Senate margin minus Nithya Raman's LA mayoral margin be between 10 and 15 points?

kalshi

Will James Talarico's Texas Senate margin minus Nithya Raman's LA mayoral margin be between 10 and 15 points?

Yes: 7.5¢
No: 92.5¢

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics

Texas Senate: margin of victory

K 33.4K contracts

Will the margin of victory for James Talarico in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas be between 0% and 2%?Yes 33.5%

Will the margin of victory for James Talarico in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas be between 2% and 4%?Yes 26%

Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas be between 0% and 2%?Yes 21.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Who will Bernie Sanders endorse before the midterms?

PM $194.7K · K 108.6K contracts

Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?

Kalshi: Will Bernie Sanders endorse Dan Osborn in the 2026 United States Senate election in Nebraska before Nov 3, 2026?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 4.7%Rules differK Yes 5%

Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?

Kalshi: Will Bernie Sanders endorse James Talarico in the 2026 United States Senate election in Texas before Nov 3, 2026?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 4%Rules differK Yes 4.4%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

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Apr 08, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC

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