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Which states will pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?

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EventKALSHI

Which states will pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?

Which states will pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?
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1.7K contracts

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Markets

17

Market snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

17 markets tracked

Will New York pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?

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All Markets(17)
MarketOutcome price
Will New York pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?
Yes 82.0%
Will Wisconsin pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?
Yes 74.5%
Will Maryland pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?
Yes 71.5%
Will Indiana pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?
Yes 71.0%
Will Illinois pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?
Yes 70.5%

Event Overview

Before Nov 7, 2028 If a new congressional district map is enacted X before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law. X new congressional district map is a statewide map of U.S. House districts, different from the state's current map, that becomes law after Issuance, whether adopted by the legislature or by another body with legal authority to draw the state's map, such as an independent commission. X map becomes law on final passage and the governor's signature, becoming law without a signature, or a veto override, or for a body that needs no executive approval, on final adoption; it counts then, even if it takes effect later or a referendum petition suspends it. X map that takes effect only upon approval of a statewide ballot measure counts once the measure is approved, according to official returns or the Associated Press A remedial map that the legislature passes because a court ordered it counts X court ruling, injunction, stay, referendum, repeal, or replacement after a map counts does not change the outcome The following do NOT count: X map drawn or imposed by a court or special master X map that became law before Issuance A constitutional amendment or other measure that allows redistricting but does not itself adopt a map This market will close and expire early if the law is enacted

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Markets (17)

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KALSHIPolitics
Will New York pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?

Will New York pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?

If a new congressional district map is enacted in New York before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law. A new congressional district map is a statewide map of U.S. House districts, different from the state's current map, that becomes law after Issuance, whether adopted by the legislature or by another body with legal authority to draw the state's map, such as an independent commission. A map becomes law on final passage and the governor's signature, becoming law without a signature, or a veto override, or for a body that needs no executive approval, on final adoption; it counts then, even if it takes effect later or a referendum petition suspends it. A map that takes effect only upon approval of a statewide ballot measure counts once the measure is approved, according to official returns or the Associated Press A remedial map that the legislature passes because a court ordered it counts A court ruling, injunction, stay, referendum, repeal, or replacement after a map counts does not change the outcome The following do NOT count: A map drawn or imposed by a court or special master A map that became law before Issuance A constitutional amendment or other measure that allows redistricting but does not itself adopt a map Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the law is enacted

Yes outcome82.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 14, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Wisconsin pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?

Will Wisconsin pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?

If a new congressional district map is enacted in Wisconsin before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law. A new congressional district map is a statewide map of U.S. House districts, different from the state's current map, that becomes law after Issuance, whether adopted by the legislature or by another body with legal authority to draw the state's map, such as an independent commission. A map becomes law on final passage and the governor's signature, becoming law without a signature, or a veto override, or for a body that needs no executive approval, on final adoption; it counts then, even if it takes effect later or a referendum petition suspends it. A map that takes effect only upon approval of a statewide ballot measure counts once the measure is approved, according to official returns or the Associated Press A remedial map that the legislature passes because a court ordered it counts A court ruling, injunction, stay, referendum, repeal, or replacement after a map counts does not change the outcome The following do NOT count: A map drawn or imposed by a court or special master A map that became law before Issuance A constitutional amendment or other measure that allows redistricting but does not itself adopt a map Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the law is enacted

Yes outcome74.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 14, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Maryland pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?

Will Maryland pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?

If a new congressional district map is enacted in Maryland before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law. A new congressional district map is a statewide map of U.S. House districts, different from the state's current map, that becomes law after Issuance, whether adopted by the legislature or by another body with legal authority to draw the state's map, such as an independent commission. A map becomes law on final passage and the governor's signature, becoming law without a signature, or a veto override, or for a body that needs no executive approval, on final adoption; it counts then, even if it takes effect later or a referendum petition suspends it. A map that takes effect only upon approval of a statewide ballot measure counts once the measure is approved, according to official returns or the Associated Press A remedial map that the legislature passes because a court ordered it counts A court ruling, injunction, stay, referendum, repeal, or replacement after a map counts does not change the outcome The following do NOT count: A map drawn or imposed by a court or special master A map that became law before Issuance A constitutional amendment or other measure that allows redistricting but does not itself adopt a map Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the law is enacted

Yes outcome71.5%
Yes
Volume19 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 14, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Indiana pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?

Will Indiana pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?

If a new congressional district map is enacted in Indiana before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law. A new congressional district map is a statewide map of U.S. House districts, different from the state's current map, that becomes law after Issuance, whether adopted by the legislature or by another body with legal authority to draw the state's map, such as an independent commission. A map becomes law on final passage and the governor's signature, becoming law without a signature, or a veto override, or for a body that needs no executive approval, on final adoption; it counts then, even if it takes effect later or a referendum petition suspends it. A map that takes effect only upon approval of a statewide ballot measure counts once the measure is approved, according to official returns or the Associated Press A remedial map that the legislature passes because a court ordered it counts A court ruling, injunction, stay, referendum, repeal, or replacement after a map counts does not change the outcome The following do NOT count: A map drawn or imposed by a court or special master A map that became law before Issuance A constitutional amendment or other measure that allows redistricting but does not itself adopt a map Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the law is enacted

Yes outcome71.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 14, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Illinois pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?

Will Illinois pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?

If a new congressional district map is enacted in Illinois before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law. A new congressional district map is a statewide map of U.S. House districts, different from the state's current map, that becomes law after Issuance, whether adopted by the legislature or by another body with legal authority to draw the state's map, such as an independent commission. A map becomes law on final passage and the governor's signature, becoming law without a signature, or a veto override, or for a body that needs no executive approval, on final adoption; it counts then, even if it takes effect later or a referendum petition suspends it. A map that takes effect only upon approval of a statewide ballot measure counts once the measure is approved, according to official returns or the Associated Press A remedial map that the legislature passes because a court ordered it counts A court ruling, injunction, stay, referendum, repeal, or replacement after a map counts does not change the outcome The following do NOT count: A map drawn or imposed by a court or special master A map that became law before Issuance A constitutional amendment or other measure that allows redistricting but does not itself adopt a map Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the law is enacted

Yes outcome70.5%
Yes
Volume1.0K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 14, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Pennsylvania pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?

Will Pennsylvania pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?

If a new congressional district map is enacted in Pennsylvania before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law. A new congressional district map is a statewide map of U.S. House districts, different from the state's current map, that becomes law after Issuance, whether adopted by the legislature or by another body with legal authority to draw the state's map, such as an independent commission. A map becomes law on final passage and the governor's signature, becoming law without a signature, or a veto override, or for a body that needs no executive approval, on final adoption; it counts then, even if it takes effect later or a referendum petition suspends it. A map that takes effect only upon approval of a statewide ballot measure counts once the measure is approved, according to official returns or the Associated Press A remedial map that the legislature passes because a court ordered it counts A court ruling, injunction, stay, referendum, repeal, or replacement after a map counts does not change the outcome The following do NOT count: A map drawn or imposed by a court or special master A map that became law before Issuance A constitutional amendment or other measure that allows redistricting but does not itself adopt a map Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the law is enacted

Yes outcome56.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 14, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Mississippi pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?

Will Mississippi pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?

If a new congressional district map is enacted in Mississippi before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law. A new congressional district map is a statewide map of U.S. House districts, different from the state's current map, that becomes law after Issuance, whether adopted by the legislature or by another body with legal authority to draw the state's map, such as an independent commission. A map becomes law on final passage and the governor's signature, becoming law without a signature, or a veto override, or for a body that needs no executive approval, on final adoption; it counts then, even if it takes effect later or a referendum petition suspends it. A map that takes effect only upon approval of a statewide ballot measure counts once the measure is approved, according to official returns or the Associated Press A remedial map that the legislature passes because a court ordered it counts A court ruling, injunction, stay, referendum, repeal, or replacement after a map counts does not change the outcome The following do NOT count: A map drawn or imposed by a court or special master A map that became law before Issuance A constitutional amendment or other measure that allows redistricting but does not itself adopt a map Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the law is enacted

Yes outcome55.0%
Yes
Volume638.62 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 14, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Minnesota pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?

Will Minnesota pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?

If a new congressional district map is enacted in Minnesota before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law. A new congressional district map is a statewide map of U.S. House districts, different from the state's current map, that becomes law after Issuance, whether adopted by the legislature or by another body with legal authority to draw the state's map, such as an independent commission. A map becomes law on final passage and the governor's signature, becoming law without a signature, or a veto override, or for a body that needs no executive approval, on final adoption; it counts then, even if it takes effect later or a referendum petition suspends it. A map that takes effect only upon approval of a statewide ballot measure counts once the measure is approved, according to official returns or the Associated Press A remedial map that the legislature passes because a court ordered it counts A court ruling, injunction, stay, referendum, repeal, or replacement after a map counts does not change the outcome The following do NOT count: A map drawn or imposed by a court or special master A map that became law before Issuance A constitutional amendment or other measure that allows redistricting but does not itself adopt a map Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the law is enacted

Yes outcome44.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 14, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Colorado pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?

Will Colorado pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?

If a new congressional district map is enacted in Colorado before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law. A new congressional district map is a statewide map of U.S. House districts, different from the state's current map, that becomes law after Issuance, whether adopted by the legislature or by another body with legal authority to draw the state's map, such as an independent commission. A map becomes law on final passage and the governor's signature, becoming law without a signature, or a veto override, or for a body that needs no executive approval, on final adoption; it counts then, even if it takes effect later or a referendum petition suspends it. A map that takes effect only upon approval of a statewide ballot measure counts once the measure is approved, according to official returns or the Associated Press A remedial map that the legislature passes because a court ordered it counts A court ruling, injunction, stay, referendum, repeal, or replacement after a map counts does not change the outcome The following do NOT count: A map drawn or imposed by a court or special master A map that became law before Issuance A constitutional amendment or other measure that allows redistricting but does not itself adopt a map Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the law is enacted

Yes outcome37.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 14, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will South Carolina pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?

Will South Carolina pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?

If a new congressional district map is enacted in South Carolina before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law. A new congressional district map is a statewide map of U.S. House districts, different from the state's current map, that becomes law after Issuance, whether adopted by the legislature or by another body with legal authority to draw the state's map, such as an independent commission. A map becomes law on final passage and the governor's signature, becoming law without a signature, or a veto override, or for a body that needs no executive approval, on final adoption; it counts then, even if it takes effect later or a referendum petition suspends it. A map that takes effect only upon approval of a statewide ballot measure counts once the measure is approved, according to official returns or the Associated Press A remedial map that the legislature passes because a court ordered it counts A court ruling, injunction, stay, referendum, repeal, or replacement after a map counts does not change the outcome The following do NOT count: A map drawn or imposed by a court or special master A map that became law before Issuance A constitutional amendment or other measure that allows redistricting but does not itself adopt a map Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the law is enacted

Yes outcome35.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 14, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Kansas pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?

Will Kansas pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?

If a new congressional district map is enacted in Kansas before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law. A new congressional district map is a statewide map of U.S. House districts, different from the state's current map, that becomes law after Issuance, whether adopted by the legislature or by another body with legal authority to draw the state's map, such as an independent commission. A map becomes law on final passage and the governor's signature, becoming law without a signature, or a veto override, or for a body that needs no executive approval, on final adoption; it counts then, even if it takes effect later or a referendum petition suspends it. A map that takes effect only upon approval of a statewide ballot measure counts once the measure is approved, according to official returns or the Associated Press A remedial map that the legislature passes because a court ordered it counts A court ruling, injunction, stay, referendum, repeal, or replacement after a map counts does not change the outcome The following do NOT count: A map drawn or imposed by a court or special master A map that became law before Issuance A constitutional amendment or other measure that allows redistricting but does not itself adopt a map Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the law is enacted

Yes outcome33.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 14, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Washington pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?

Will Washington pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?

If a new congressional district map is enacted in Washington before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law. A new congressional district map is a statewide map of U.S. House districts, different from the state's current map, that becomes law after Issuance, whether adopted by the legislature or by another body with legal authority to draw the state's map, such as an independent commission. A map becomes law on final passage and the governor's signature, becoming law without a signature, or a veto override, or for a body that needs no executive approval, on final adoption; it counts then, even if it takes effect later or a referendum petition suspends it. A map that takes effect only upon approval of a statewide ballot measure counts once the measure is approved, according to official returns or the Associated Press A remedial map that the legislature passes because a court ordered it counts A court ruling, injunction, stay, referendum, repeal, or replacement after a map counts does not change the outcome The following do NOT count: A map drawn or imposed by a court or special master A map that became law before Issuance A constitutional amendment or other measure that allows redistricting but does not itself adopt a map Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the law is enacted

Yes outcome29.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 14, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Oregon pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?

Will Oregon pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?

If a new congressional district map is enacted in Oregon before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law. A new congressional district map is a statewide map of U.S. House districts, different from the state's current map, that becomes law after Issuance, whether adopted by the legislature or by another body with legal authority to draw the state's map, such as an independent commission. A map becomes law on final passage and the governor's signature, becoming law without a signature, or a veto override, or for a body that needs no executive approval, on final adoption; it counts then, even if it takes effect later or a referendum petition suspends it. A map that takes effect only upon approval of a statewide ballot measure counts once the measure is approved, according to official returns or the Associated Press A remedial map that the legislature passes because a court ordered it counts A court ruling, injunction, stay, referendum, repeal, or replacement after a map counts does not change the outcome The following do NOT count: A map drawn or imposed by a court or special master A map that became law before Issuance A constitutional amendment or other measure that allows redistricting but does not itself adopt a map Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the law is enacted

Yes outcome27.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 14, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will New Jersey pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?

Will New Jersey pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?

If a new congressional district map is enacted in New Jersey before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law. A new congressional district map is a statewide map of U.S. House districts, different from the state's current map, that becomes law after Issuance, whether adopted by the legislature or by another body with legal authority to draw the state's map, such as an independent commission. A map becomes law on final passage and the governor's signature, becoming law without a signature, or a veto override, or for a body that needs no executive approval, on final adoption; it counts then, even if it takes effect later or a referendum petition suspends it. A map that takes effect only upon approval of a statewide ballot measure counts once the measure is approved, according to official returns or the Associated Press A remedial map that the legislature passes because a court ordered it counts A court ruling, injunction, stay, referendum, repeal, or replacement after a map counts does not change the outcome The following do NOT count: A map drawn or imposed by a court or special master A map that became law before Issuance A constitutional amendment or other measure that allows redistricting but does not itself adopt a map Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the law is enacted

Yes outcome26.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 14, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Arizona pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?

Will Arizona pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?

If a new congressional district map is enacted in Arizona before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law. A new congressional district map is a statewide map of U.S. House districts, different from the state's current map, that becomes law after Issuance, whether adopted by the legislature or by another body with legal authority to draw the state's map, such as an independent commission. A map becomes law on final passage and the governor's signature, becoming law without a signature, or a veto override, or for a body that needs no executive approval, on final adoption; it counts then, even if it takes effect later or a referendum petition suspends it. A map that takes effect only upon approval of a statewide ballot measure counts once the measure is approved, according to official returns or the Associated Press A remedial map that the legislature passes because a court ordered it counts A court ruling, injunction, stay, referendum, repeal, or replacement after a map counts does not change the outcome The following do NOT count: A map drawn or imposed by a court or special master A map that became law before Issuance A constitutional amendment or other measure that allows redistricting but does not itself adopt a map Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the law is enacted

Yes outcome22.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 14, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Virginia pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?

Will Virginia pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?

If a new congressional district map is enacted in Virginia before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law. A new congressional district map is a statewide map of U.S. House districts, different from the state's current map, that becomes law after Issuance, whether adopted by the legislature or by another body with legal authority to draw the state's map, such as an independent commission. A map becomes law on final passage and the governor's signature, becoming law without a signature, or a veto override, or for a body that needs no executive approval, on final adoption; it counts then, even if it takes effect later or a referendum petition suspends it. A map that takes effect only upon approval of a statewide ballot measure counts once the measure is approved, according to official returns or the Associated Press A remedial map that the legislature passes because a court ordered it counts A court ruling, injunction, stay, referendum, repeal, or replacement after a map counts does not change the outcome The following do NOT count: A map drawn or imposed by a court or special master A map that became law before Issuance A constitutional amendment or other measure that allows redistricting but does not itself adopt a map Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the law is enacted

Yes outcome20.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 14, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Missouri pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?

Will Missouri pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?

If a new congressional district map is enacted in Missouri before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law. A new congressional district map is a statewide map of U.S. House districts, different from the state's current map, that becomes law after Issuance, whether adopted by the legislature or by another body with legal authority to draw the state's map, such as an independent commission. A map becomes law on final passage and the governor's signature, becoming law without a signature, or a veto override, or for a body that needs no executive approval, on final adoption; it counts then, even if it takes effect later or a referendum petition suspends it. A map that takes effect only upon approval of a statewide ballot measure counts once the measure is approved, according to official returns or the Associated Press A remedial map that the legislature passes because a court ordered it counts A court ruling, injunction, stay, referendum, repeal, or replacement after a map counts does not change the outcome The following do NOT count: A map drawn or imposed by a court or special master A map that became law before Issuance A constitutional amendment or other measure that allows redistricting but does not itself adopt a map Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the law is enacted

Yes outcome7.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 14, 2028
View Details

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