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Events
GroupKALSHI

Which states will pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?

Which states will pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?
Vol

K 1.7K contracts

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Events

1

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Markets

17

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is New York at 82%.

Kalshi

  1. New York82%
  2. Wisconsin74.5%
  3. Maryland71.5%
  4. Indiana71%
  5. Illinois70.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 1.7K contracts

Reported volume ยท provider units

17

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

Before Nov 7, 2028 If a new congressional district map is enacted X before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law. X new congressional district map is a statewide map of U.S. House districts, different from the state's current map, that becomes law after Issuance, whether adopted by the legislature or by another body with legal authority to draw the state's map, such as an independent commission. X map becomes law on final passage and the governor's signature, becoming law without a signature, or a veto override, or for a body that needs no executive approval, on final adoption; it counts then, even if it takes effect later or a referendum petition suspends it. X map that takes effect only upon approval of a statewide ballot measure counts once the measure is approved, according to official returns or the Associated Press A remedial map that the legislature passes because a court ordered it counts X court ruling, injunction, stay, referendum, repeal, or replacement after a map counts does not change the outcome The following do NOT count: X map drawn or imposed by a court or special master X map that became law before Issuance A constitutional amendment or other measure that allows redistricting but does not itself adopt a map This market will close and expire early if the law is enacted

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?

Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?

K 15.9K contracts
What states will redistrict before the 2028 Congressional elections? (Wisconsin)Yes 77%
What states will redistrict before the 2028 Congressional elections? (New York)Yes 75.5%
What states will redistrict before the 2028 Congressional elections? (Illinois)Yes 67.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 14, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?

Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?

K 101.5K contracts
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that New Hampshire holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states before Apr 1, 2028?Yes 83.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Iowa holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states before Apr 1, 2028?Yes 9.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that South Carolina holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states before Apr 1, 2028?Yes 4%
+1 moreNext deadline Apr 8, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be the first Republican listed to announce a presidential run?

Who will be the first Republican listed to announce a presidential run?

K 1.8K contracts
Will J.D. Vance be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?Yes 18%
Will Ron DeSantis be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?Yes 14.5%
Will Marco Rubio be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?Yes 13%
+34 moreNext deadline Nov 14, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
2028 U.S. Vice-Presidential Election winner

2028 U.S. Vice-Presidential Election winner

K 66.2K contracts
Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (James Talarico)Yes 15.5%
Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez)Yes 10%
Who will win the 2028 United States vice presidential election? (Marco Rubio)Yes 6.5%
+24 moreNext deadline Jan 6, 2030 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?

Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?

K 243.8K contracts
Will Florida be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 97%
Will Alaska be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 3%
Will Virginia be the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 0.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?

Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?

K 440.7K contracts
Will Mississippi be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 97.5%
Will Virginia be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 0.5%
Will Texas be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?Yes 0.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC

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