On Feb 1, 2027 If the Republican Party has X Y House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Individuals caucusing with the Republicans will be included
4.35M contracts
11
4.35M contracts
11
Market snapshot: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.
11 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Outcome price |
|---|---|
Will the Republican Party win 193 seats in the 120th Congress? | Yes 29.5% |
Will the Republican Party win 198-202 seats in the 120th Congress? | Yes 15.5% |
Will the Republican Party win 193-197 seats in the 120th Congress? | Yes 14.5% |
Will the Republican Party win 203-207 seats in the 120th Congress? | Yes 13.5% |
Will the Republican Party win 208-212 seats in the 120th Congress? | Yes 8.9% |
On Feb 1, 2027 If the Republican Party has X Y House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Individuals caucusing with the Republicans will be included
If the Republican Party has below 193 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Individuals caucusing with the Republicans will be included
If the Republican Party has between 198-202 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Individuals caucusing with the Republicans will be included
If the Republican Party has between 193-197 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Individuals caucusing with the Republicans will be included
If the Republican Party has between 203-207 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Individuals caucusing with the Republicans will be included
If the Republican Party has between 208-212 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Individuals caucusing with the Republicans will be included
If the Republican Party has between 213-217 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Individuals caucusing with the Republicans will be included
If the Republican Party has between 218-222 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Individuals caucusing with the Republicans will be included
If the Republican Party has between 223-227 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Individuals caucusing with the Republicans will be included
If the Republican Party has between 228-232 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Individuals caucusing with the Republicans will be included
If the Republican Party has above 237 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Individuals caucusing with the Republicans will be included
If the Republican Party has between 233-237 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Individuals caucusing with the Republicans will be included