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South Dakota Republican presidential primary winner?

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South Dakota Republican presidential primary winner?

South Dakota Republican presidential primary winner?
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Market snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 South Dakota Republican primary?

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All Markets(5)
MarketOutcome price
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 South Dakota Republican primary?
Yes 33.5%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 South Dakota Republican primary?
Yes 19.0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 South Dakota Republican primary?
Yes 11.5%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 South Dakota Republican primary?
Yes 5.0%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 South Dakota Republican primary?
Yes 4.0%

Event Overview

SD If X wins the 2028 South Dakota Republican presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the South Dakota Republican presidential primary conducted by the state, whether or not it allocates or binds national convention delegates. The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading
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Markets (5)

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KALSHIPolitics
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 South Dakota Republican primary?

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 South Dakota Republican primary?

If J.D. Vance wins the 2028 South Dakota Republican presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the South Dakota Republican presidential primary conducted by the state, whether or not it allocates or binds national convention delegates. The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome33.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 South Dakota Republican primary?

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 South Dakota Republican primary?

If Marco Rubio wins the 2028 South Dakota Republican presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the South Dakota Republican presidential primary conducted by the state, whether or not it allocates or binds national convention delegates. The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome19.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 South Dakota Republican primary?

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 South Dakota Republican primary?

If Ron DeSantis wins the 2028 South Dakota Republican presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the South Dakota Republican presidential primary conducted by the state, whether or not it allocates or binds national convention delegates. The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome11.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 South Dakota Republican primary?

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 South Dakota Republican primary?

If Tucker Carlson wins the 2028 South Dakota Republican presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the South Dakota Republican presidential primary conducted by the state, whether or not it allocates or binds national convention delegates. The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome5.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 South Dakota Republican primary?

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 South Dakota Republican primary?

If Thomas Massie wins the 2028 South Dakota Republican presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the South Dakota Republican presidential primary conducted by the state, whether or not it allocates or binds national convention delegates. The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome4.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details

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