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Events
GroupKALSHI

South Dakota Republican presidential primary winner?

South Dakota Republican presidential primary winner?
Vol

K 0 contracts

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Events

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Markets

5

Kalshi

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is J.D. Vance at 33.5%.

Kalshi

  1. J.D. Vance33.5%
  2. Marco Rubio19%
  3. Ron DeSantis11.5%
  4. Tucker Carlson5%
  5. Thomas Massie4%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 0 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

5

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

SD If X wins the 2028 South Dakota Republican presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the South Dakota Republican presidential primary conducted by the state, whether or not it allocates or binds national convention delegates. The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Related prediction markets

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketPolitics
South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary Winner 2028

South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary Winner 2028

PM $2.2K
Will J.D. Vance win the South Carolina Republican primary?Yes 39.5%
Will Tucker Carlson win the South Carolina Republican primary?Yes 28%
Will Donald Trump win the South Carolina Republican primary?Yes 27%
+17 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
South Dakota Democratic presidential primary winner?

South Dakota Democratic presidential primary winner?

K 0 contracts
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 South Dakota Democratic primary?Yes 26%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 South Dakota Democratic primary?Yes 14.5%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 South Dakota Democratic primary?Yes 13.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
South Carolina Republican presidential primary winner?

South Carolina Republican presidential primary winner?

K 231 contracts
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 South Carolina Republican primary?Yes 34.5%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 South Carolina Republican primary?Yes 15.5%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 South Carolina Republican primary?Yes 12.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
South Dakota presidential election winner?

South Dakota presidential election winner?

K 0 contracts
Will the Republican Party win South Dakota in the 2028 presidential election?Yes 95%
Will the Democratic Party win South Dakota in the 2028 presidential election?Yes 5.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
South Carolina Democratic presidential primary winner?

South Carolina Democratic presidential primary winner?

PM $41.0K · K 9.8K contracts

Will Jon Ossoff win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?

Kalshi: Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 26.5%Rules differK Yes 25.5%

Will Raphael Warnock win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?

Kalshi: Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 16%Rules differK Yes 9.5%

Will Kamala Harris win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?

Kalshi: Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 11.5%Rules differK Yes 11.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

18 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 23, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will the first 2028 Republican primary debate be?

When will the first 2028 Republican primary debate be?

K 400 contracts
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a debate officially sanctioned by the Republican National Committee (RNC) as a 2028 Republican presidential primary debate takes place before Mar 1, 2028?Yes 76%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a debate officially sanctioned by the Republican National Committee (RNC) as a 2028 Republican presidential primary debate takes place before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 70%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a debate officially sanctioned by the Republican National Committee (RNC) as a 2028 Republican presidential primary debate takes place before Dec 1, 2027?Yes 66%
+5 moreNext deadline Jun 8, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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