Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement?

Before Jan 1, 2029 If OpenAI or Anthropic announces it has achieved recursive self-improvement before Jan 1, X then the market resolves to Yes. The statement must describe an achieved capability in which the company's AI autonomously conducts the research and development needed to materially improve the general capabilities of its most capable or near-frontier AI systems, or produce a more capable successor, with the improved system able to drive further such improvements. Toy, narrow, sandboxe