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Which senators will back Schumer for Senate Democratic leader?

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Which senators will back Schumer for Senate Democratic leader?
Which senators will back Schumer for Senate Democratic leader?
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Market snapshot: Nov 15, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

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33 markets tracked

Will it be confirmed that Kirsten Gillibrand publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

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All Markets(33)
MarketOutcome price
Will it be confirmed that Kirsten Gillibrand publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?
Yes 93.5%
Will it be confirmed that Mark Kelly publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?
Yes 90.5%
Will it be confirmed that Ruben Gallego publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?
Yes 89.0%
Will it be confirmed that Mary Peltola publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?
Yes 88.0%
Will it be confirmed that John Fetterman publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?
Yes 86.5%

Event Overview

Before Jan 3, 2027 If X publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chuck Schumer by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chuck Schumer remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chuck Schumer is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chuck Schumer, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. X senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. X senator who says they voted against Chuck Schumer, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chuck Schumer before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chuck Schumer is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. X route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chuck Schumer withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. X person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Market Resolution Rules

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  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
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Markets (33)

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KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Kirsten Gillibrand publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Kirsten Gillibrand publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Kirsten Gillibrand publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chuck Schumer by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chuck Schumer remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chuck Schumer is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chuck Schumer, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chuck Schumer, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chuck Schumer before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chuck Schumer is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chuck Schumer withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome93.5%
Yes
Volume331 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Mark Kelly publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Mark Kelly publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Mark Kelly publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chuck Schumer by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chuck Schumer remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chuck Schumer is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chuck Schumer, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chuck Schumer, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chuck Schumer before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chuck Schumer is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chuck Schumer withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome90.5%
Yes
Volume94.97 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Ruben Gallego publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Ruben Gallego publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Ruben Gallego publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chuck Schumer by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chuck Schumer remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chuck Schumer is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chuck Schumer, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chuck Schumer, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chuck Schumer before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chuck Schumer is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chuck Schumer withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome89.0%
Yes
Volume2.6K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Mary Peltola publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Mary Peltola publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Mary Peltola publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chuck Schumer by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chuck Schumer remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chuck Schumer is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chuck Schumer, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chuck Schumer, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chuck Schumer before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chuck Schumer is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chuck Schumer withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome88.0%
Yes
Volume1.5K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that John Fetterman publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that John Fetterman publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If John Fetterman publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chuck Schumer by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chuck Schumer remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chuck Schumer is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chuck Schumer, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chuck Schumer, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chuck Schumer before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chuck Schumer is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chuck Schumer withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome86.5%
Yes
Volume2.0K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Richard Blumenthal publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Richard Blumenthal publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Richard Blumenthal publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chuck Schumer by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chuck Schumer remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chuck Schumer is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chuck Schumer, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chuck Schumer, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chuck Schumer before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chuck Schumer is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chuck Schumer withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome85.5%
Yes
Volume495.38 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Roy Cooper publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Roy Cooper publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Roy Cooper publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chuck Schumer by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chuck Schumer remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chuck Schumer is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chuck Schumer, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chuck Schumer, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chuck Schumer before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chuck Schumer is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chuck Schumer withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome85.0%
Yes
Volume203.95 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Tammy Duckworth publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Tammy Duckworth publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Tammy Duckworth publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chuck Schumer by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chuck Schumer remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chuck Schumer is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chuck Schumer, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chuck Schumer, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chuck Schumer before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chuck Schumer is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chuck Schumer withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome82.5%
Yes
Volume7.26 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Jon Ossoff publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Jon Ossoff publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Jon Ossoff publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chuck Schumer by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chuck Schumer remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chuck Schumer is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chuck Schumer, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chuck Schumer, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chuck Schumer before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chuck Schumer is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chuck Schumer withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome81.0%
Yes
Volume753.87 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Maggie Hassan publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Maggie Hassan publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Maggie Hassan publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chuck Schumer by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chuck Schumer remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chuck Schumer is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chuck Schumer, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chuck Schumer, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chuck Schumer before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chuck Schumer is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chuck Schumer withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome75.5%
Yes
Volume107.17 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Josh Turek publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Josh Turek publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Josh Turek publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chuck Schumer by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chuck Schumer remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chuck Schumer is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chuck Schumer, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chuck Schumer, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chuck Schumer before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chuck Schumer is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chuck Schumer withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome75.0%
Yes
Volume371.93 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Peter Welch publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Peter Welch publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Peter Welch publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chuck Schumer by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chuck Schumer remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chuck Schumer is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chuck Schumer, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chuck Schumer, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chuck Schumer before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chuck Schumer is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chuck Schumer withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome73.5%
Yes
Volume14.5 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
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KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Patty Murray publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Patty Murray publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Patty Murray publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chuck Schumer by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chuck Schumer remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chuck Schumer is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chuck Schumer, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chuck Schumer, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chuck Schumer before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chuck Schumer is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chuck Schumer withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome73.0%
Yes
Volume47.5 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
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KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Maria Cantwell publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Maria Cantwell publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Maria Cantwell publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chuck Schumer by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chuck Schumer remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chuck Schumer is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chuck Schumer, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chuck Schumer, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chuck Schumer before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chuck Schumer is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chuck Schumer withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome64.0%
Yes
Volume96 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
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KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Chris Coons publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Chris Coons publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Chris Coons publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chuck Schumer by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chuck Schumer remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chuck Schumer is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chuck Schumer, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chuck Schumer, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chuck Schumer before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chuck Schumer is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chuck Schumer withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome59.0%
Yes
Volume996.1 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
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KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Raphael Warnock publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Raphael Warnock publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Raphael Warnock publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chuck Schumer by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chuck Schumer remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chuck Schumer is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chuck Schumer, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chuck Schumer, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chuck Schumer before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chuck Schumer is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chuck Schumer withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome53.5%
Yes
Volume2.0K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Ed Markey publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Ed Markey publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Ed Markey publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chuck Schumer by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chuck Schumer remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chuck Schumer is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chuck Schumer, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chuck Schumer, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chuck Schumer before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chuck Schumer is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chuck Schumer withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome52.0%
Yes
Volume40.4 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Cory Booker publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Cory Booker publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Cory Booker publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chuck Schumer by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chuck Schumer remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chuck Schumer is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chuck Schumer, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chuck Schumer, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chuck Schumer before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chuck Schumer is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chuck Schumer withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome52.0%
Yes
Volume285.85 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Angela Alsobrooks publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Angela Alsobrooks publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Angela Alsobrooks publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chuck Schumer by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chuck Schumer remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chuck Schumer is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chuck Schumer, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chuck Schumer, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chuck Schumer before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chuck Schumer is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chuck Schumer withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome47.5%
Yes
Volume449.41 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Chris Murphy publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Chris Murphy publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Chris Murphy publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chuck Schumer by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chuck Schumer remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chuck Schumer is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chuck Schumer, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chuck Schumer, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chuck Schumer before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chuck Schumer is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chuck Schumer withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome42.0%
Yes
Volume2.1K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Andy Kim publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Andy Kim publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Andy Kim publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chuck Schumer by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chuck Schumer remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chuck Schumer is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chuck Schumer, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chuck Schumer, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chuck Schumer before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chuck Schumer is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chuck Schumer withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome41.5%
Yes
Volume409.41 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Mark Warner publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Mark Warner publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Mark Warner publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chuck Schumer by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chuck Schumer remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chuck Schumer is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chuck Schumer, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chuck Schumer, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chuck Schumer before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chuck Schumer is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chuck Schumer withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome41.5%
Yes
Volume740.74 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Tim Kaine publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Tim Kaine publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Tim Kaine publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chuck Schumer by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chuck Schumer remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chuck Schumer is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chuck Schumer, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chuck Schumer, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chuck Schumer before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chuck Schumer is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chuck Schumer withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome40.5%
Yes
Volume369.94 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Chris Pappas publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Chris Pappas publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Chris Pappas publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chuck Schumer by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chuck Schumer remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chuck Schumer is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chuck Schumer, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chuck Schumer, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chuck Schumer before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chuck Schumer is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chuck Schumer withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome36.0%
Yes
Volume539.58 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Martin Heinrich publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Martin Heinrich publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Martin Heinrich publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chuck Schumer by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chuck Schumer remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chuck Schumer is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chuck Schumer, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chuck Schumer, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chuck Schumer before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chuck Schumer is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chuck Schumer withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome35.5%
Yes
Volume119.1 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Scott Colom publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Scott Colom publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Scott Colom publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chuck Schumer by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chuck Schumer remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chuck Schumer is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chuck Schumer, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chuck Schumer, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chuck Schumer before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chuck Schumer is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chuck Schumer withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome34.0%
Yes
Volume1.1K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that James Talarico publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that James Talarico publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If James Talarico publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chuck Schumer by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chuck Schumer remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chuck Schumer is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chuck Schumer, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chuck Schumer, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chuck Schumer before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chuck Schumer is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chuck Schumer withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome33.0%
Yes
Volume1.0K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Elizabeth Warren publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Elizabeth Warren publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Elizabeth Warren publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chuck Schumer by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chuck Schumer remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chuck Schumer is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chuck Schumer, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chuck Schumer, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chuck Schumer before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chuck Schumer is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chuck Schumer withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome15.0%
Yes
Volume947.59 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Juliana Stratton publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Juliana Stratton publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Juliana Stratton publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chuck Schumer by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chuck Schumer remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chuck Schumer is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chuck Schumer, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chuck Schumer, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chuck Schumer before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chuck Schumer is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chuck Schumer withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome13.0%
Yes
Volume1.8K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Bernie Sanders publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Bernie Sanders publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Bernie Sanders publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chuck Schumer by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chuck Schumer remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chuck Schumer is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chuck Schumer, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chuck Schumer, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chuck Schumer before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chuck Schumer is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chuck Schumer withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome5.5%
Yes
Volume625.24 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Elissa Slotkin publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Elissa Slotkin publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Elissa Slotkin publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chuck Schumer by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chuck Schumer remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chuck Schumer is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chuck Schumer, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chuck Schumer, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chuck Schumer before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chuck Schumer is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chuck Schumer withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome5.0%
Yes
Volume2.9K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Abdul El-Sayed publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Abdul El-Sayed publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Abdul El-Sayed publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chuck Schumer by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chuck Schumer remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chuck Schumer is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chuck Schumer, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chuck Schumer, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chuck Schumer before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chuck Schumer is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chuck Schumer withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome4.5%
Yes
Volume9.5K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Chris Van Hollen publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Chris Van Hollen publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Chris Van Hollen publicly backs Chuck Schumer for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chuck Schumer by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chuck Schumer remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chuck Schumer is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chuck Schumer, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chuck Schumer, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chuck Schumer before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chuck Schumer is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chuck Schumer withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome2.5%
Yes
Volume482.35 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details

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