Will SCOTUS overturn or narrow Stinson deference to federal sentencing-guideline commentary?

Before 2028 If the Supreme Court, in Beaird v. United States, rules courts must independently interpret the Sentencing Guidelines or apply a narrower deference framework than Stinson when considering Guidelines commentary, then the market resolves to Yes. The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled, in Beaird v. United States, that Stinson v. United States no longer correctly states the rule governing the deferenc