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Which Senate races will be within 1 point?

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EventKALSHI

Which Senate races will be within 1 point?

Which Senate races will be within 1 point?
Yes

23%

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$4.36K

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Markets

12

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12 markets tracked

Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Kansas be decided by 1 percentage point or less?

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All Markets(12)
MarketPrice
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Kansas be decided by 1 percentage point or less?
23%
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Iowa be decided by 1 percentage point or less?
18%
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Texas be decided by 1 percentage point or less?
17%
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Alaska be decided by 1 percentage point or less?
16%
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Michigan be decided by 1 percentage point or less?
16%

Markets (12)

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KALSHIPolitics
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Kansas be decided by 1 percentage point or less?

Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Kansas be decided by 1 percentage point or less?

If the margin of victory for the election winner in the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Kansas falls within 0 to 1 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin is the difference between the winner's vote share and the second-place

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome23.0%
Yes
Volume$410.21
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Iowa be decided by 1 percentage point or less?

Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Iowa be decided by 1 percentage point or less?

If the margin of victory for the election winner in the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Iowa falls within 0 to 1 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin is the difference between the winner's vote share and the second-place fi

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome18.0%
Yes
Volume$490.48
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Texas be decided by 1 percentage point or less?

Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Texas be decided by 1 percentage point or less?

If the margin of victory for the election winner in the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Texas falls within 0 to 1 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin is the difference between the winner's vote share and the second-place f

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome16.5%
Yes
Volume$26.26
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Alaska be decided by 1 percentage point or less?

Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Alaska be decided by 1 percentage point or less?

If the margin of victory for the election winner in the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Alaska falls within 0 to 1 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin is the difference between the winner's vote share and the second-place

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome16.5%
Yes
Volume$47.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Michigan be decided by 1 percentage point or less?

Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Michigan be decided by 1 percentage point or less?

If the margin of victory for the election winner in the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Michigan falls within 0 to 1 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin is the difference between the winner's vote share and the second-plac

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome15.5%
Yes
Volume$1.80K
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio be decided by 1 percentage point or less?

Will the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio be decided by 1 percentage point or less?

If the margin of victory for the election winner in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio falls within 0 to 1 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin is the difference between the winner's vote share and the second-place fi

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome13.0%
Yes
Volume$320.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Maine be decided by 1 percentage point or less?

Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Maine be decided by 1 percentage point or less?

If the margin of victory for the election winner in the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Maine falls within 0 to 1 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin is the difference between the winner's vote share and the second-place f

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome13.0%
Yes
Volume$364.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Nebraska be decided by 1 percentage point or less?

Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Nebraska be decided by 1 percentage point or less?

If the margin of victory for the election winner in the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Nebraska falls within 0 to 1 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin is the difference between the winner's vote share and the second-plac

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome12.5%
Yes
Volume$195.41
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in South Carolina be decided by 1 percentage point or less?

Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in South Carolina be decided by 1 percentage point or less?

If the margin of victory for the election winner in the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in South Carolina falls within 0 to 1 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin is the difference between the winner's vote share and the secon

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome11.0%
Yes
Volume$75.68
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida be decided by 1 percentage point or less?

Will the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida be decided by 1 percentage point or less?

If the margin of victory for the election winner in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida falls within 0 to 1 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin is the difference between the winner's vote share and the second-place

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome8.0%
Yes
Volume$547.13
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in New Hampshire be decided by 1 percentage point or less?

Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in New Hampshire be decided by 1 percentage point or less?

If the margin of victory for the election winner in the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in New Hampshire falls within 0 to 1 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin is the difference between the winner's vote share and the second

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome7.5%
Yes
Volume$91.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in North Carolina be decided by 1 percentage point or less?

Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in North Carolina be decided by 1 percentage point or less?

If the margin of victory for the election winner in the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in North Carolina falls within 0 to 1 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin is the difference between the winner's vote share and the secon

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome3.0%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 03, 2027
View Details

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