Which Senate races will be within 5 points?

Nov 3, 2026 If the margin of victory for the election winner in the 2026 U.S. Senate general election X falls within 0 to 5 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin is the difference between the winner's vote share and the second-place finisher's vote share, measured in percentage points. Zero indicates a tie. Certified official results are used, subject to the contract's Fully-Conducted Elections and accelerated-resolution provisions. For rank