
Will it be confirmed that Ayanna Pressley receives at least one vote for Speaker of the House on a roll call at the opening of the 120th Congress?
If Ayanna Pressley receives at least one vote for Speaker of the House on a roll call at the opening of the 120th Congress after Issuance and before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency before Feb 1, 2027. A person receives a vote when the roll call record of the Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives, or a Source Agency report of that record, shows a vote cast for that person on a roll call to elect the Speaker at the opening of the 120th Congress. Every ballot held until a Speaker is elected counts, and one vote on any of them counts. A Member voting for themself counts, and so does a vote for a person who is not a Member of the House. If a Speaker is elected at the opening of the 120th Congress and the Clerk's record of those ballots shows no vote for this person, the market resolves to No once the Speaker is elected; a later report does not reopen it. The following do NOT count: A vote recorded as Present or Not Voting A vote the Member changes before that ballot's result is announced A vote for a name that does not identify this person alone, such as a surname shared by other Members, unless the record identifies them A vote in a party caucus or conference election A roll call to elect a Speaker after the opening of the Congress, such as to fill a vacancy A pledge, petition, or statement of support without a recorded vote Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.






