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Events
GroupKALSHI
120th Congress: Who will get a vote for Speaker?
120th Congress: Who will get a vote for Speaker?
Vol

K 1.7K contracts

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Events

1

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Markets

7

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Nov 15, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Ayanna Pressley at 66%.

Kalshi

  1. Ayanna Pressley66%
  2. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez64%
  3. Rashida Tlaib51.5%
  4. Steve Scalise50.5%
  5. Mike Johnson50.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 1.7K contracts

Reported volume ยท provider units

7

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 15, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
120th Congress: Who will be elected Speaker of the House?

120th Congress: Who will be elected Speaker of the House?

K 229.7K contracts
Who will win the election for Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives at the opening of the 120th Congress? (Hakeem Jeffries)Yes 94.5%
Who will win the election for Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives at the opening of the 120th Congress? (Ro Khanna)Yes 1.5%
Who will win the election for Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives at the opening of the 120th Congress? (Jamie Raskin)Yes 0.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
120th Congress: Who will run for Speaker of the House?

120th Congress: Who will run for Speaker of the House?

K 249.85 contracts
Will Jim Jordan announce a run for Speaker at the opening of the 120th Congress?Yes 95%
Will Ayanna Pressley announce a run for Speaker at the opening of the 120th Congress?Yes 6.5%
Will Ro Khanna announce a run for Speaker at the opening of the 120th Congress?Yes 4.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
120th Congress: Will Jeffries be elected Speaker on the first ballot?

120th Congress: Will Jeffries be elected Speaker on the first ballot?

K 263.1K contracts
Will Hakeem Jeffries be elected Speaker on the first ballot at the opening of the 120th Congress?Yes 94.5%
1 mktNext deadline May 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
120th Congress: Will Schumer be reelected by voice vote?

120th Congress: Will Schumer be reelected by voice vote?

K 4.4K contracts
Will Chuck Schumer be reelected Senate Democratic leader for the 120th Congress by voice vote or acclamation?Yes 7.5%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
120th Congress: Speaker & Senate Majority Leader combo

120th Congress: Speaker & Senate Majority Leader combo

K 1.3K contracts
Speaker & Senate leader combo: Jeffries & Schumer?Yes 87%
Speaker & Senate leader combo: Jeffries & Van Hollen?Yes 9.5%
Speaker & Senate leader combo: Pressley & Van Hollen?Yes 2%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional)

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional)

K 176.1K contracts
Will the Democratic party hold more than 220 House seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 99.5%
Will the Democratic party hold more than 241 House seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 99%
Will the Democratic party hold more than 238 House seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 99%
+20 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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