What is the current price for "S&P 500 move on July FOMC day?"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 95.5% probability.

How many markets are available for "S&P 500 move on July FOMC day?"?

There are 12 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "S&P 500 move on July FOMC day?"?

Trading volume data is not currently available.

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S&P 500 move on July FOMC day?

Yes88%

Vol$0.00

Markets12

88%

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Event Group

EventKALSHI

Single EventKALSHIEconomics

S&P 500 move on July FOMC day?

Name: S&P 500 move on July FOMC day?
Start: 2026-07-10T05:38:19.937Z
End: 2026-08-09T05:38:19.937Z

Part of: S&P 500 move on July FOMC day?

July 29, 2026 If the the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 is at least X then the market resolves to Yes. The absolute percentage change will be calculated using the official S&P 500 closing level for July 29, 2026 and the official S&P 500 closing level for the previous trading day. The S&P 500 Index refers to the S&P 500 price-return index, not the S&P 500 Total Return Index, S&P 500 futures, ETFs, or intraday values. The move will be calculated as

YesLeading Yes Probability

88%

VolTotal Volume

$0.00

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

S&P 500 move on July FOMC day?

Yes

88%

Vol

$0.00

Markets

Trade

Market Price Graph

12 markets tracked

Will the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 be at least 0.25%?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(12)

Market	Price
Will the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 be at least 0.25%?	88%
Will the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 be at least 0.50%?	69%
Will the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 be at least 0.75%?	54%
Will the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 be at least 1.00%?	42%
Will the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 be at least 1.25%?	21%

Markets (12)

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KALSHIEconomics

Will the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 be at least 0.25%?

If the the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 is at least 0.25%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The absolute percentage change will be calculated using the official S&P 500 closing level for July 29, 2026 and the official S&P 500 closin

Will the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 be at least 0.50%?

If the the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 is at least 0.50%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The absolute percentage change will be calculated using the official S&P 500 closing level for July 29, 2026 and the official S&P 500 closin

Will the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 be at least 0.75%?

If the the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 is at least 0.75%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The absolute percentage change will be calculated using the official S&P 500 closing level for July 29, 2026 and the official S&P 500 closin

Will the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 be at least 1.00%?

If the the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 is at least 1.00%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The absolute percentage change will be calculated using the official S&P 500 closing level for July 29, 2026 and the official S&P 500 closin

Will the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 be at least 1.25%?

If the the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 is at least 1.25%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The absolute percentage change will be calculated using the official S&P 500 closing level for July 29, 2026 and the official S&P 500 closin

Will the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 be at least 1.50%?

If the the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 is at least 1.50%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The absolute percentage change will be calculated using the official S&P 500 closing level for July 29, 2026 and the official S&P 500 closin

Will the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 be at least 1.75%?

If the the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 is at least 1.75%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The absolute percentage change will be calculated using the official S&P 500 closing level for July 29, 2026 and the official S&P 500 closin

Will the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 be at least 2.00%?

If the the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 is at least 2.00%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The absolute percentage change will be calculated using the official S&P 500 closing level for July 29, 2026 and the official S&P 500 closin

Will the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 be at least 2.50%?

If the the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 is at least 2.50%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The absolute percentage change will be calculated using the official S&P 500 closing level for July 29, 2026 and the official S&P 500 closin

Will the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 be at least 2.25%?

If the the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 is at least 2.25%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The absolute percentage change will be calculated using the official S&P 500 closing level for July 29, 2026 and the official S&P 500 closin

Will the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 be at least 2.75%?

If the the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 is at least 2.75%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The absolute percentage change will be calculated using the official S&P 500 closing level for July 29, 2026 and the official S&P 500 closin

Will the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 be at least 3.00%?

If the the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 is at least 3.00%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The absolute percentage change will be calculated using the official S&P 500 closing level for July 29, 2026 and the official S&P 500 closin

S&P 500 move on July FOMC day?

S&P 500 move on July FOMC day?

S&P 500 move on July FOMC day?

Market Price Graph

Will the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 be at least 0.25%?

Rules & Resolution Criteria

Markets (12)

Will the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 be at least 0.25%?

Will the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 be at least 0.50%?

Will the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 be at least 0.75%?

Will the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 be at least 1.00%?

Will the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 be at least 1.25%?

Will the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 be at least 1.50%?

Will the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 be at least 1.75%?

Will the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 be at least 2.00%?

Will the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 be at least 2.50%?

Will the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 be at least 2.25%?

Will the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 be at least 2.75%?

Will the absolute percentage change in the S&P 500 Index closing level for July 29, 2026 be at least 3.00%?

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