Will the Switzerland 10 million population cap referendum pass?

In 2026 If the "No to a Ten-Million Switzerland" initiative, which aims to cap Switzerland's permanent resident population at 10 million by 2050, passes, then the market resolves to Yes. A referendum "passes" when it meets ALL of the following conditions: receives the minimum percentage of "Yes" or "For" votes required by the applicable constitution, law, or electoral rules (whether simple majority, supermajority, or other threshold), meets any minimum voter turnout requirements if applicable,