What is the current price for "What will the US tariff rate on China be on July 1?"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 99.5% probability.

How many markets are available for "What will the US tariff rate on China be on July 1?"?

There are 7 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "What will the US tariff rate on China be on July 1?"?

Trading volume data is not currently available.

What will the US tariff rate on China be on July 1?

Name: What will the US tariff rate on China be on July 1?
Start: 2026-04-17T13:18:16.844Z
End: 2026-05-17T13:18:16.844Z

Market Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will the tariff rate on China imports be between 10% and 19.99% on Jul 1, 2026?

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All Markets(7)

Market	Price
Will the tariff rate on China imports be between 10% and 19.99% on Jul 1, 2026?	59%
Will the tariff rate on China imports be between 20% and 29.99% on Jul 1, 2026?	14%
Will the tariff rate on China imports be below 10% on Jul 1, 2026?	13%
Will the tariff rate on China imports be between 30% and 39.99% on Jul 1, 2026?	7%
Will the tariff rate on China imports be between 40% and 49.99% on Jul 1, 2026?	5%

Markets (7)

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Will the tariff rate on China imports be between 10% and 19.99% on Jul 1, 2026?

If the general import tariff rate on imports from China into the United States on Jul 1, 2026 is between 10 to 19.99%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the general import tariff rate that is actually in effect (i.e., being collected) on the specified dat

Will the tariff rate on China imports be between 20% and 29.99% on Jul 1, 2026?

If the general import tariff rate on imports from China into the United States on Jul 1, 2026 is between 20 to 29.99%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the general import tariff rate that is actually in effect (i.e., being collected) on the specified dat

Will the tariff rate on China imports be below 10% on Jul 1, 2026?

If the general import tariff rate on imports from China into the United States on Jul 1, 2026 is below 10%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the general import tariff rate that is actually in effect (i.e., being collected) on the specified date. This inc

Will the tariff rate on China imports be between 30% and 39.99% on Jul 1, 2026?

If the general import tariff rate on imports from China into the United States on Jul 1, 2026 is between 30 to 39.99%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the general import tariff rate that is actually in effect (i.e., being collected) on the specified dat

Will the tariff rate on China imports be between 40% and 49.99% on Jul 1, 2026?

If the general import tariff rate on imports from China into the United States on Jul 1, 2026 is between 40 to 49.99%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the general import tariff rate that is actually in effect (i.e., being collected) on the specified dat

Will the tariff rate on China imports be above 60% on Jul 1, 2026?

If the general import tariff rate on imports from China into the United States on Jul 1, 2026 is above 60%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the general import tariff rate that is actually in effect (i.e., being collected) on the specified date. This inc

Will the tariff rate on China imports be between 50% and 60% on Jul 1, 2026?

If the general import tariff rate on imports from China into the United States on Jul 1, 2026 is between 50 to 60%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the general import tariff rate that is actually in effect (i.e., being collected) on the specified date.