
Will the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 16, 2026 be above $750 billion?
If the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 16, 2026 is above $750 billion, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses the “Treasury General Account (TGA) Closing Balance” in the “Today” column of Table I — Operating Cash Balance in the Daily Treasury Statement for October 16, 2026. The published amount, reported in millions of U.S. dollars, is divided by 1,000 to express the balance in billions of U.S. dollars. No additional rounding is applied. The first published value is used. Later corrections and revisions are ignored. The observation date is the date covered by the statement, regardless of when the statement is published. A publication delay does not change the observation date. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.










