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Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?

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EventKALSHI

Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?

Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?
Yes

86%

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Vol

$5.00

|
Markets

33

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Market Price Graph

33 markets tracked

Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (OpenAI)

kalshi

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All Markets(33)
MarketPrice
Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (OpenAI)
86%
Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Google)
78%
Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Meta)
62%
Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Xiaomi)
61%
Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Baidu)
61%

Markets (33)

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KALSHITech
Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (OpenAI)

Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (OpenAI)

If OpenAI has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Leading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBenc

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome85.5%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 07, 2030
View Details
KALSHITech
Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Google)

Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Google)

If Google has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Leading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBenc

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome78.5%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 07, 2030
View Details
KALSHITech
Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Meta)

Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Meta)

If Meta has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Leading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBench

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome61.5%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 07, 2030
View Details
KALSHITech
Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Xiaomi)

Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Xiaomi)

If Xiaomi has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Leading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBenc

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome60.5%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 07, 2030
View Details
KALSHITech
Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Baidu)

Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Baidu)

If Baidu has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Leading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBench

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome60.5%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 07, 2030
View Details
KALSHITech
Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Tencent)

Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Tencent)

If Tencent has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Leading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBen

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome55.5%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 07, 2030
View Details
KALSHITech
Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Z AI)

Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Z AI)

If Z AI has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Leading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBench

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome45.5%
Yes
Volume$5.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 07, 2030
View Details
KALSHITech
Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Moonshot)

Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Moonshot)

If Moonshot has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Leading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBe

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome45.5%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 07, 2030
View Details
KALSHITech
Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (MiniMax)

Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (MiniMax)

If MiniMax has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Leading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBen

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome45.5%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 07, 2030
View Details
KALSHITech
Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (DeepSeek)

Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (DeepSeek)

If DeepSeek has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Leading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBe

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome45.5%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 07, 2030
View Details
KALSHITech
Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (xAI)

Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (xAI)

If xAI has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Leading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBench u

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome40.5%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 07, 2030
View Details
KALSHITech
Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Alibaba)

Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Alibaba)

If Alibaba has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Leading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBen

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome30.5%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 07, 2030
View Details
KALSHITech
Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (ByteDance)

Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (ByteDance)

If ByteDance has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Leading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveB

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome25.5%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 07, 2030
View Details
KALSHITech
Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Microsoft)

Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Microsoft)

If Microsoft has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Leading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveB

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome15.5%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 07, 2030
View Details
KALSHITech
Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Amazon)

Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Amazon)

If Amazon has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Leading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBenc

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome15.5%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 07, 2030
View Details
KALSHITech
Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Huawei)

Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Huawei)

If Huawei has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Leading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBenc

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome10.5%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 07, 2030
View Details
KALSHITech
Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Mistral)

Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Mistral)

If Mistral has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Leading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBen

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome8.5%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 07, 2030
View Details
KALSHITech
Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Upstage)

Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Upstage)

If Upstage has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Leading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBen

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome5.5%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 07, 2030
View Details
KALSHITech
Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Thinking Machines)

Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Thinking Machines)

If Thinking Machines has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Leading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI a

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome5.5%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 07, 2030
View Details
KALSHITech
Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (StepFun)

Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (StepFun)

If StepFun has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Leading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBen

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome5.5%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 07, 2030
View Details
KALSHITech
Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Safe Superintelligence)

Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Safe Superintelligence)

If Safe Superintelligence has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Leading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome5.5%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 07, 2030
View Details
KALSHITech
Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Reflection AI)

Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Reflection AI)

If Reflection AI has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Leading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and L

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome5.5%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 07, 2030
View Details
KALSHITech
Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Prime Intellect)

Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Prime Intellect)

If Prime Intellect has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Leading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome5.5%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 07, 2030
View Details
KALSHITech
Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (NVIDIA)

Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (NVIDIA)

If NVIDIA has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Leading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBenc

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome5.5%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 07, 2030
View Details
KALSHITech
Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (LongCat)

Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (LongCat)

If LongCat has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Leading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBen

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome5.5%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 07, 2030
View Details
KALSHITech
Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (LG AI Research)

Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (LG AI Research)

If LG AI Research has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Leading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome5.5%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 07, 2030
View Details
KALSHITech
Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Inception)

Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Inception)

If Inception has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Leading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveB

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome5.5%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 07, 2030
View Details
KALSHITech
Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (InclusionAI)

Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (InclusionAI)

If InclusionAI has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Leading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and Liv

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome5.5%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 07, 2030
View Details
KALSHITech
Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Institute of Foundation Models)

Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Institute of Foundation Models)

If Institute of Foundation Models has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Leading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, th

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome5.5%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 07, 2030
View Details
KALSHITech
Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Essential AI)

Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Essential AI)

If Essential AI has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Leading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and Li

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome5.5%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 07, 2030
View Details
KALSHITech
Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Cohere)

Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Cohere)

If Cohere has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Leading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBenc

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome5.5%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 07, 2030
View Details
KALSHITech
Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (China Mobile)

Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (China Mobile)

If China Mobile has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Leading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and Li

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome5.5%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 07, 2030
View Details
KALSHITech
Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Arcee AI)

Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030? (Arcee AI)

If Arcee AI has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Leading at any point after listing and before the deadline counts; multiple companies can resolve Yes. Artificial Analysis is used first, then Epoch AI and LiveBe

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome5.5%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 07, 2030
View Details

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