What is the current price for "Top AI model this week?"?

The leading outcome "Yes" is currently trading at 99.0% probability.

How many markets are available for "Top AI model this week?"?

There are 7 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "Top AI model this week?"?

Total trading volume is approximately $49K.

BackKKALSHI

Top AI model this week?

Yes99%

Vol$49.45K

Markets7

99%

TradeTrade on Kalshi

Event Group

EventKALSHI

Single EventKALSHIScience and Technology

Top AI model this week?

Name: Top AI model this week?
Start: 2026-10-12T02:28:07.528Z
End: 2026-11-11T02:28:07.528Z

Part of: Top AI model this week?

On Oct 12, 2026 If X is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. If two models are tied under Rank, UB, then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.

YesLeading Yes Probability

99%

VolTotal Volume

$49.45K

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Top AI model this week?

Yes

99%

Vol

$49.45K

Markets

Trade

Market Price Graph

7 markets tracked

What will be the top AI model on Oct 12, 2026? (gemini-4-argon-high)

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(7)

Market	Price
What will be the top AI model on Oct 12, 2026? (gemini-4-argon-high)	99%
What will be the top AI model on Oct 12, 2026? (gemini-3.8-flash-high)	1%
What will be the top AI model on Oct 12, 2026? (claude-fable-5.1-max)	1%
What will be the top AI model on Oct 12, 2026? (claude-opus-5-max)	1%
What will be the top AI model on Oct 12, 2026? (claude-opus-5.5-high)	1%

Markets (7)

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KALSHITech

What will be the top AI model on Oct 12, 2026? (gemini-4-argon-high)

If gemini-4-argon-high is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most vote

What will be the top AI model on Oct 12, 2026? (gemini-3.8-flash-high)

If gemini-3.8-flash-high is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most vo

What will be the top AI model on Oct 12, 2026? (claude-fable-5.1-max)

If claude-fable-5.1-max is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most vot

What will be the top AI model on Oct 12, 2026? (claude-opus-5-max)

If claude-opus-5-max is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes

What will be the top AI model on Oct 12, 2026? (claude-opus-5.5-high)

If claude-opus-5.5-high is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most vot

What will be the top AI model on Oct 12, 2026? (claude-opus-4-6)

If claude-opus-4-6 is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes wi

What will be the top AI model on Oct 12, 2026? (claude-opus-4-6-high)

If claude-opus-4-6-high is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most vot