What is the current price for "Highest third-party vote share in a 2026 Senate race?"?

The leading outcome "Yes" is currently trading at 53.0% probability.

How many markets are available for "Highest third-party vote share in a 2026 Senate race?"?

There are 9 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "Highest third-party vote share in a 2026 Senate race?"?

Total trading volume is approximately $0K.

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Highest third-party vote share in a 2026 Senate race?

Yes97%

Vol$65.19

Markets9

97%

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EventKALSHI

Single EventKALSHIElections

Highest third-party vote share in a 2026 Senate race?

Name: Highest third-party vote share in a 2026 Senate race?
Start: 2026-10-12T04:28:48.582Z
End: 2026-11-11T04:28:48.582Z

Part of: Highest third-party vote share in a 2026 Senate race?

in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections If the highest vote share received by any qualifying third-party candidate in a 2026 U.S. Senate election is at least X in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections, then the market resolves to Yes. X qualifying third-party candidate is a candidate recorded by the relevant state election authority under the name of a political party other than the Democratic Party, the Republican Party, or a recognized state affiliate of either, including the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-L

YesLeading Yes Probability

97%

VolTotal Volume

$65.19

Markets

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Highest third-party vote share in a 2026 Senate race?

Yes

97%

Vol

$65.19

Markets

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Market Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Will a third-party Senate candidate win at least 2% of the vote in 2026?

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All Markets(9)

Market	Price
Will a third-party Senate candidate win at least 2% of the vote in 2026?	97%
Will a third-party Senate candidate win at least 4% of the vote in 2026?	84%
Will a third-party Senate candidate win at least 4.5% of the vote in 2026?	53%
Will a third-party Senate candidate win at least 5% of the vote in 2026?	38%
Will a third-party Senate candidate win at least 6% of the vote in 2026?	24%

Markets (9)

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KALSHIPolitics

Will a third-party Senate candidate win at least 2% of the vote in 2026?

If the highest vote share received by any qualifying third-party candidate in a 2026 U.S. Senate election is at least 2% in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A qualifying third-party candidate is a candidate recorded by the relevant state election auth

Will a third-party Senate candidate win at least 4% of the vote in 2026?

If the highest vote share received by any qualifying third-party candidate in a 2026 U.S. Senate election is at least 4% in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A qualifying third-party candidate is a candidate recorded by the relevant state election auth

Will a third-party Senate candidate win at least 4.5% of the vote in 2026?

If the highest vote share received by any qualifying third-party candidate in a 2026 U.S. Senate election is at least 4.5% in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A qualifying third-party candidate is a candidate recorded by the relevant state election au

Will a third-party Senate candidate win at least 5% of the vote in 2026?

If the highest vote share received by any qualifying third-party candidate in a 2026 U.S. Senate election is at least 5% in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A qualifying third-party candidate is a candidate recorded by the relevant state election auth

Will a third-party Senate candidate win at least 6% of the vote in 2026?

If the highest vote share received by any qualifying third-party candidate in a 2026 U.S. Senate election is at least 6% in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A qualifying third-party candidate is a candidate recorded by the relevant state election auth

Will a third-party Senate candidate win at least 8% of the vote in 2026?

If the highest vote share received by any qualifying third-party candidate in a 2026 U.S. Senate election is at least 8% in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A qualifying third-party candidate is a candidate recorded by the relevant state election auth

Will a third-party Senate candidate win at least 10% of the vote in 2026?

If the highest vote share received by any qualifying third-party candidate in a 2026 U.S. Senate election is at least 10% in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A qualifying third-party candidate is a candidate recorded by the relevant state election aut

Will a third-party Senate candidate win at least 12% of the vote in 2026?

If the highest vote share received by any qualifying third-party candidate in a 2026 U.S. Senate election is at least 12% in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A qualifying third-party candidate is a candidate recorded by the relevant state election aut

Will a third-party Senate candidate win at least 14% of the vote in 2026?

If the highest vote share received by any qualifying third-party candidate in a 2026 U.S. Senate election is at least 14% in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A qualifying third-party candidate is a candidate recorded by the relevant state election aut