Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026? | PredictPedia

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Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?

Yes59%

Vol$39.10K

Markets17

59%

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EventKALSHI

Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?

Single EventKALSHIPolitics

Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?

Part of: Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?

Before Jan 1, 2027 If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory X after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Advisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered "issued" when it appear

YesLeading Yes Probability

59%

|

VolTotal Volume

$39.10K

|

Markets

17

Trade on Kalshi

Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?

Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?

Yes

59%

|

Vol

$39.10K

|

Markets

17

Market Price Graph

17 markets tracked

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Venezuela?

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No data available

All Markets(17)

Market	Price
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Venezuela?	59%
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Iran?	29%
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Syria?	27%
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Somalia?	20%
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Ukraine?	14%

Markets (17)

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Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Venezuela?

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Venezuela?

If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Venezuela after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Advisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level

Health Score25/100

Yes Outcome58.5%

End DateJan 08, 2027

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Iran?

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Iran?

If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Iran after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Advisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must

Health Score30/100

Yes Outcome28.5%

End DateJan 08, 2027

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Syria?

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Syria?

If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Syria after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Advisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must

Health Score25/100

Yes Outcome26.5%

End DateJan 08, 2027

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Somalia?

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Somalia?

If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Somalia after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Advisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level mu

Health Score25/100

Yes Outcome20.0%

End DateJan 08, 2027

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Ukraine?

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Ukraine?

If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Ukraine after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Advisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level mu

Health Score25/100

Yes Outcome14.5%

End DateJan 08, 2027

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Lebanon?

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Lebanon?

If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Lebanon after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Advisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level mu

Health Score25/100

Yes Outcome12.5%

End DateJan 08, 2027

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Haiti?

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Haiti?

If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Haiti after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Advisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must

Health Score25/100

Yes Outcome12.5%

End DateJan 08, 2027

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Afghanistan?

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Afghanistan?

If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Afghanistan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Advisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category leve

Health Score25/100

Yes Outcome9.0%

End DateJan 08, 2027

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Russia?

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Russia?

If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Russia after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Advisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level mus

Health Score25/100

Yes Outcome8.0%

End DateJan 08, 2027

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Iraq?

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Iraq?

If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Iraq after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Advisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must

Health Score25/100

Yes Outcome7.5%

End DateJan 08, 2027

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Libya?

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Libya?

If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Libya after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Advisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must

Health Score25/100

Yes Outcome6.5%

End DateJan 08, 2027

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Gaza?

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Gaza?

If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Gaza after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Advisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must

Health Score25/100

Yes Outcome6.5%

End DateJan 08, 2027

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Burma (Myanmar)?

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Burma (Myanmar)?

If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Burma (Myanmar) after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Advisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category

Health Score25/100

Yes Outcome5.5%

End DateJan 08, 2027

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Yemen?

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Yemen?

If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Yemen after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Advisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must

Health Score25/100

Yes Outcome4.0%

End DateJan 08, 2027

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Sudan?

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Sudan?

If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Sudan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Advisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must

Health Score25/100

Yes Outcome4.0%

End DateJan 08, 2027

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for South Sudan?

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for South Sudan?

If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for South Sudan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Advisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category leve

Health Score25/100

Yes Outcome3.5%

End DateJan 08, 2027

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for North Korea?

Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for North Korea?

If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for North Korea after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Advisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category leve

Health Score25/100

Yes Outcome3.5%

End DateJan 08, 2027

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