What is the current price for "Who will leave the Trump administration before Jul 2027?"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 87.5% probability.

How many markets are available for "Who will leave the Trump administration before Jul 2027?"?

There are 34 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "Who will leave the Trump administration before Jul 2027?"?

Total trading volume is approximately $2K.

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Who will leave the Trump administration before Jul 2027?

Vol1.7K contracts

Markets34

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Event Group

EventKALSHI

Single EventKALSHIPolitics

Who will leave the Trump administration before Jul 2027?

Name: Who will leave the Trump administration before Jul 2027?
Start: 2026-11-08T20:02:48.360Z
End: 2026-12-08T20:02:48.360Z

Part of: Who will leave the Trump administration before Jul 2027?

Before Jul 1, 2027 If X leaves, or announces they will leave, the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. X departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

VolTotal Volume

1.7K contracts

Markets

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Who will leave the Trump administration before Jul 2027?

Vol

1.7K contracts

Markets

Trade

Market snapshot: Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

34 markets tracked

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before Jul 1, 2027?

kalshi

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All Markets(34)

Market	Outcome price
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before Jul 1, 2027?	Yes 75.0%
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before Jul 1, 2027?	Yes 73.0%
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before Jul 1, 2027?	Yes 67.0%
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before Jul 1, 2027?	Yes 62.0%
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before Jul 1, 2027?	Yes 45.0%

Event Overview

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

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Markets (34)

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KALSHIPolitics

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before Jul 1, 2027?

If Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome75.0%

Yes

Volume0.3 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJul 08, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before Jul 1, 2027?

If Pete Hegseth leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome73.0%

Yes

Volume4.1 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJul 08, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before Jul 1, 2027?

If Kash Patel leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome67.0%

Yes

Volume0.35 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJul 08, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before Jul 1, 2027?

If Marco Rubio leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome62.0%

Yes

Volume720.14 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJul 08, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before Jul 1, 2027?

If Howard Lutnick leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome45.0%

Yes

Volume0.48 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJul 08, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before Jul 1, 2027?

If Scott Bessent leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome40.5%

Yes

Volume224.2 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJul 08, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Steve Witkoff leave the Trump administration before Jul 1, 2027?

If Steve Witkoff leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome23.5%

Yes

Volume76.95 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJul 08, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Steven Cheung leave the Trump administration before Jul 1, 2027?

If Steven Cheung leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome22.0%

Yes

Volume0.88 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJul 08, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Todd Blanche leave the Trump administration before Jul 1, 2027?

If Todd Blanche leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome21.5%

Yes

Volume1.03 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJul 08, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Doug Burgum leave the Trump administration before Jul 1, 2027?

If Doug Burgum leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome20.5%

Yes

Volume212.58 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJul 08, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Brad Cooper leave the Trump administration before Jul 1, 2027?

If Brad Cooper leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome20.0%

Yes

Volume3.8 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJul 08, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Linda McMahon leave the Trump administration before Jul 1, 2027?

If Linda McMahon leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome18.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJul 08, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Kelly Loeffler leave the Trump administration before Jul 1, 2027?

If Kelly Loeffler leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome18.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJul 08, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Brooke Rollins leave the Trump administration before Jul 1, 2027?

If Brooke Rollins leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome17.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJul 08, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before Jul 1, 2027?

If Stephen Miller leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome17.0%

Yes

Volume261.55 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJul 08, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Peter Navarro leave the Trump administration before Jul 1, 2027?

If Peter Navarro leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome16.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJul 08, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Mike Huckabee leave the Trump administration before Jul 1, 2027?

If Mike Huckabee leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome16.5%

Yes

Volume1.21 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJul 08, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Kevin Hassett leave the Trump administration before Jul 1, 2027?

If Kevin Hassett leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome16.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJul 08, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Chris Wright leave the Trump administration before Jul 1, 2027?

If Chris Wright leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome16.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJul 08, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Mike Waltz leave the Trump administration before Jul 1, 2027?

If Mike Waltz leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome15.5%

Yes

Volume0.27 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJul 08, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Mehmet Oz leave the Trump administration before Jul 1, 2027?

If Mehmet Oz leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome15.5%

Yes

Volume170.1 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJul 08, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Dan Caine leave the Trump administration before Jul 1, 2027?

If Dan Caine leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome15.5%

Yes

Volume1.18 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJul 08, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Christopher Landau leave the Trump administration before Jul 1, 2027?

If Christopher Landau leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome15.5%

Yes

Volume1.18 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJul 08, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Bill Pulte leave the Trump administration before Jul 1, 2027?

If Bill Pulte leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome15.5%

Yes

Volume0.27 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJul 08, 2027

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KALSHIPolitics

Will Jamieson Greer leave the Trump administration before Jul 1, 2027?

If Jamieson Greer leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome14.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJul 08, 2027

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KALSHIPolitics

Will Doug Collins leave the Trump administration before Jul 1, 2027?

If Doug Collins leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome14.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJul 08, 2027

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KALSHIPolitics

Will Scott Turner leave the Trump administration before Jul 1, 2027?

If Scott Turner leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome13.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJul 08, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Sean Duffy leave the Trump administration before Jul 1, 2027?

If Sean Duffy leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome13.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJul 08, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Rodney Scott leave the Trump administration before Jul 1, 2027?

If Rodney Scott leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome13.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJul 08, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Tom Homan leave the Trump administration before Jul 1, 2027?

If Tom Homan leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome12.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJul 08, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will John Ratcliffe leave the Trump administration before Jul 1, 2027?

If John Ratcliffe leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome12.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJul 08, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Russell Vought leave the Trump administration before Jul 1, 2027?

If Russell Vought leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome11.5%

Yes

Volume2.94 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJul 08, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before Jul 1, 2027?

If Lee Zeldin leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome11.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJul 08, 2027

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Brendan Carr leave the Trump administration before Jul 1, 2027?

If Brendan Carr leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome8.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJul 08, 2027

View Details

Back to Event Group

Who will leave the Trump administration before Jul 2027?

Who will leave the Trump administration before Jul 2027?

Who will leave the Trump administration before Jul 2027?

Market Price Graph

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before Jul 1, 2027?

Rules & Resolution Criteria

Event Overview

Market Resolution Rules

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Markets (34)

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