What is the current price for "Who will leave the Trump administration before 2028?"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 80.0% probability.

How many markets are available for "Who will leave the Trump administration before 2028?"?

There are 34 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "Who will leave the Trump administration before 2028?"?

Total trading volume is approximately $0K.

BackKKALSHI

Who will leave the Trump administration before 2028?

Vol350.44 contracts

Markets34

TradeTrade on Kalshi

Event Group

EventKALSHI

Single EventKALSHIPolitics

Who will leave the Trump administration before 2028?

Name: Who will leave the Trump administration before 2028?
Start: 2026-11-08T19:24:51.390Z
End: 2026-12-08T19:24:51.390Z

Part of: Who will leave the Trump administration before 2028?

Before Jan 1, 2028 If X leaves, or announces they will leave, the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. X departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

VolTotal Volume

350.44 contracts

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Who will leave the Trump administration before 2028?

Vol

350.44 contracts

Markets

Trade

Market snapshot: Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

34 markets tracked

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before Jan 1, 2028?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(34)

Market	Outcome price
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before Jan 1, 2028?	Yes 84.0%
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before Jan 1, 2028?	Yes 80.5%
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before Jan 1, 2028?	Yes 72.0%
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before Jan 1, 2028?	Yes 67.0%
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before Jan 1, 2028?	Yes 62.0%

Event Overview

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

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Markets (34)

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KALSHIPolitics

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before Jan 1, 2028?

If Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome84.0%

Yes

Volume1.11 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2028

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before Jan 1, 2028?

If Pete Hegseth leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome80.5%

Yes

Volume185.33 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2028

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before Jan 1, 2028?

If Kash Patel leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome72.0%

Yes

Volume1 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2028

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before Jan 1, 2028?

If Marco Rubio leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome67.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2028

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before Jan 1, 2028?

If Howard Lutnick leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome62.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2028

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before Jan 1, 2028?

If Scott Bessent leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome57.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2028

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Steven Cheung leave the Trump administration before Jan 1, 2028?

If Steven Cheung leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome32.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2028

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Steve Witkoff leave the Trump administration before Jan 1, 2028?

If Steve Witkoff leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome30.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2028

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Linda McMahon leave the Trump administration before Jan 1, 2028?

If Linda McMahon leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome29.5%

Yes

Volume20.25 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2028

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Todd Blanche leave the Trump administration before Jan 1, 2028?

If Todd Blanche leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome28.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2028

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Brad Cooper leave the Trump administration before Jan 1, 2028?

If Brad Cooper leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome28.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2028

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Brooke Rollins leave the Trump administration before Jan 1, 2028?

If Brooke Rollins leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome27.0%

Yes

Volume18.28 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2028

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Kelly Loeffler leave the Trump administration before Jan 1, 2028?

If Kelly Loeffler leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome26.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2028

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Kevin Hassett leave the Trump administration before Jan 1, 2028?

If Kevin Hassett leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome26.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2028

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Peter Navarro leave the Trump administration before Jan 1, 2028?

If Peter Navarro leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome25.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2028

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Mike Huckabee leave the Trump administration before Jan 1, 2028?

If Mike Huckabee leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome25.0%

Yes

Volume6.35 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2028

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Chris Wright leave the Trump administration before Jan 1, 2028?

If Chris Wright leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome24.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2028

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Bill Pulte leave the Trump administration before Jan 1, 2028?

If Bill Pulte leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome24.0%

Yes

Volume6.57 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2028

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Christopher Landau leave the Trump administration before Jan 1, 2028?

If Christopher Landau leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome23.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2028

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Mike Waltz leave the Trump administration before Jan 1, 2028?

If Mike Waltz leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome22.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2028

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Jamieson Greer leave the Trump administration before Jan 1, 2028?

If Jamieson Greer leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome22.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2028

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Doug Collins leave the Trump administration before Jan 1, 2028?

If Doug Collins leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome22.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2028

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Dan Caine leave the Trump administration before Jan 1, 2028?

If Dan Caine leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome22.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2028

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Sean Duffy leave the Trump administration before Jan 1, 2028?

If Sean Duffy leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome21.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2028

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KALSHIPolitics

Will Rodney Scott leave the Trump administration before Jan 1, 2028?

If Rodney Scott leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome21.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2028

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KALSHIPolitics

Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before Jan 1, 2028?

If Stephen Miller leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome20.5%

Yes

Volume107.55 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2028

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KALSHIPolitics

Will Tom Homan leave the Trump administration before Jan 1, 2028?

If Tom Homan leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome20.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2028

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Scott Turner leave the Trump administration before Jan 1, 2028?

If Scott Turner leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome20.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2028

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Doug Burgum leave the Trump administration before Jan 1, 2028?

If Doug Burgum leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome20.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2028

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will John Ratcliffe leave the Trump administration before Jan 1, 2028?

If John Ratcliffe leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome19.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2028

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before Jan 1, 2028?

If Lee Zeldin leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome18.5%

Yes

Volume4 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2028

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Russell Vought leave the Trump administration before Jan 1, 2028?

If Russell Vought leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome17.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2028

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Mehmet Oz leave the Trump administration before Jan 1, 2028?

If Mehmet Oz leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome16.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2028

View Details

KALSHIPolitics

Will Brendan Carr leave the Trump administration before Jan 1, 2028?

If Brendan Carr leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome14.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2028

View Details

Back to Event Group

Who will leave the Trump administration before 2028?

Who will leave the Trump administration before 2028?

Who will leave the Trump administration before 2028?

Market Price Graph

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before Jan 1, 2028?

Rules & Resolution Criteria

Event Overview

Market Resolution Rules

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Markets (34)

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