
Who will leave the Trump administration before 2028?
K 350.44 contracts
1
34
Who will leave the Trump administration before 2028?

K 350.44 contracts
1
34
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 84%.
Kalshi
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.84%
- Pete Hegseth80.5%
- Kash Patel72%
- Marco Rubio67%
- Howard Lutnick62%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 350.44 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
34
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
Before Jan 1, 2028 If X leaves, or announces they will leave, the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. X departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange. This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
