On Nov 1, 2026 If Trump's RCP approval average is X Y at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.
250.5K contracts
9
250.5K contracts
9
Market snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.
9 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Outcome price |
|---|---|
Will Trump's RCP approval average be above 38.7 on Nov 1, 2026? | Yes 95.5% |
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.7 on Nov 1, 2026? | Yes 2.5% |
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.5 on Nov 1, 2026? | Yes 1.5% |
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.6 on Nov 1, 2026? | Yes 1.0% |
Will Trump's RCP approval average be below 38.1 on Nov 1, 2026? | Yes 0.5% |
On Nov 1, 2026 If Trump's RCP approval average is X Y at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.
If Trump's RCP approval average is above 38.7% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.
If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.7% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.
If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.5% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.
If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.6% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.
If Trump's RCP approval average is below 38.1% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.
If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.4% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.
If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.3% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.
If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.2% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.
If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.1% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.