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Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 15, 2026?

Event Group
EventKALSHI

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 15, 2026?

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 15, 2026?
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Vol

537.6K contracts

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Markets

9

Market snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.8 on Oct 15, 2026?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(9)
MarketOutcome price
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.8 on Oct 15, 2026?
Yes 90.5%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be above 38.8 on Oct 15, 2026?
Yes 5.5%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.7 on Oct 15, 2026?
Yes 1.5%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.6 on Oct 15, 2026?
Yes 1.5%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be below 38.2 on Oct 15, 2026?
Yes 0.5%

Event Overview

On Oct 15, 2026 If Trump's RCP approval average is X Y at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

Markets (9)

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KALSHIPolitics
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.8 on Oct 15, 2026?

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.8 on Oct 15, 2026?

If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.8% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Yes outcome90.5%
Yes
Volume66.2K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 15, 2026
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Trump's RCP approval average be above 38.8 on Oct 15, 2026?

Will Trump's RCP approval average be above 38.8 on Oct 15, 2026?

If Trump's RCP approval average is above 38.8% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Yes outcome5.5%
Yes
Volume97.9K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 15, 2026
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.7 on Oct 15, 2026?

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.7 on Oct 15, 2026?

If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.7% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Yes outcome1.5%
Yes
Volume57.1K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 15, 2026
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.6 on Oct 15, 2026?

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.6 on Oct 15, 2026?

If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.6% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Yes outcome1.5%
Yes
Volume39.1K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 15, 2026
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Trump's RCP approval average be below 38.2 on Oct 15, 2026?

Will Trump's RCP approval average be below 38.2 on Oct 15, 2026?

If Trump's RCP approval average is below 38.2% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume46.4K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 15, 2026
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.5 on Oct 15, 2026?

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.5 on Oct 15, 2026?

If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.5% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume90.1K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 15, 2026
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.4 on Oct 15, 2026?

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.4 on Oct 15, 2026?

If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.4% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume59.7K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 15, 2026
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.3 on Oct 15, 2026?

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.3 on Oct 15, 2026?

If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.3% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume48.1K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 15, 2026
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.2 on Oct 15, 2026?

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.2 on Oct 15, 2026?

If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.2% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume32.8K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 15, 2026
View Details

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