Market snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 15, 2026?

Reported volume

K 537.6K contracts

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Markets

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Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 15, 2026?

Vol

K 537.6K contracts

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Provider overview

polymarket

Reported lifetime volume

kalshi

537.6K contracts

Reported lifetime volume

Reviewed equivalent pairs

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Price ChartContract price history

9 markets tracked

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Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.8 on Oct 15, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.8 on Oct 15, 2026?	Kalshi	90.5%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be above 38.8 on Oct 15, 2026?	Kalshi	5.5%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.7 on Oct 15, 2026?	Kalshi	1.5%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.6 on Oct 15, 2026?	Kalshi	1.5%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be below 38.2 on Oct 15, 2026?	Kalshi	0.5%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.5 on Oct 15, 2026?	Kalshi	0.5%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.4 on Oct 15, 2026?	Kalshi	0.5%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.3 on Oct 15, 2026?	Kalshi	0.5%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.2 on Oct 15, 2026?	Kalshi	0.5%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

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AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 537.6K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Reviewed equivalent pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC

About This Event

On Oct 15, 2026 If Trump's RCP approval average is X Y at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 15, 2026?
Source snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 537.6K contracts
Coverage: 9 of 9 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will Trump's RCP approval average be below 38.2 on Oct 15, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPAPPROVE-26OCT15-U38.2; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpapprove-26oct15
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 15, 2026, 4:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: 46.4K contracts
Outcome Yes: 0.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Trump's RCP approval average is below 38.2% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Contract: Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.8 on Oct 15, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPAPPROVE-26OCT15-E38.8; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpapprove-26oct15
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 15, 2026, 4:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: 66.2K contracts
Outcome Yes: 90.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 9.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.8% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Contract: Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.7 on Oct 15, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPAPPROVE-26OCT15-E38.7; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpapprove-26oct15
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 15, 2026, 4:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: 57.1K contracts
Outcome Yes: 1.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.7% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Contract: Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.6 on Oct 15, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPAPPROVE-26OCT15-E38.6; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpapprove-26oct15
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 15, 2026, 4:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: 39.1K contracts
Outcome Yes: 1.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.6% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Contract: Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.5 on Oct 15, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPAPPROVE-26OCT15-E38.5; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpapprove-26oct15
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 15, 2026, 4:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: 90.1K contracts
Outcome Yes: 0.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.5% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Contract: Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.4 on Oct 15, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPAPPROVE-26OCT15-E38.4; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpapprove-26oct15
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 15, 2026, 4:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: 59.7K contracts
Outcome Yes: 0.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.4% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Contract: Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.3 on Oct 15, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPAPPROVE-26OCT15-E38.3; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpapprove-26oct15
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 15, 2026, 4:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: 48.1K contracts
Outcome Yes: 0.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.3% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Contract: Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.2 on Oct 15, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPAPPROVE-26OCT15-E38.2; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpapprove-26oct15
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 15, 2026, 4:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: 32.8K contracts
Outcome Yes: 0.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.2% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Contract: Will Trump's RCP approval average be above 38.8 on Oct 15, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPAPPROVE-26OCT15-A38.8; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpapprove-26oct15
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 15, 2026, 4:59 PM UTC
Reported volume: 97.9K contracts
Outcome Yes: 5.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 94.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Trump's RCP approval average is above 38.8% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

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KALSHIPolitics