What is the current price for "10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 16, 2026?"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 81.5% probability.

How many markets are available for "10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 16, 2026?"?

There are 15 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 16, 2026?"?

Total trading volume is approximately $1K.

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10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 16, 2026?

Yes93%

Vol$693.15

Markets15

93%

TradeTrade on Kalshi

Event Group

EventKALSHI

Single EventKALSHIFinancials

10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 16, 2026?

Name: 10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 16, 2026?
Start: 2026-10-12T08:13:04.301Z
End: 2026-11-11T08:13:04.301Z

Part of: 10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 16, 2026?

On Oct 16, 2026 If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above X on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 16, 2026, or one week following Oct 16, 2026.

YesLeading Yes Probability

93%

VolTotal Volume

$693.15

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 16, 2026?

Yes

93%

Vol

$693.15

Markets

Trade

Market Price Graph

15 markets tracked

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.05% on Oct 16, 2026?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(15)

Market	Price
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.05% on Oct 16, 2026?	93%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.07% on Oct 16, 2026?	90%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.09% on Oct 16, 2026?	88%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.11% on Oct 16, 2026?	85%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.13% on Oct 16, 2026?	81%

Markets (15)

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CLOSING SOON

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.05% on Oct 16, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.05% on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 16, 2026, or one week following Oct 16, 2026.

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.07% on Oct 16, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.07% on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 16, 2026, or one week following Oct 16, 2026.

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.09% on Oct 16, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.09% on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 16, 2026, or one week following Oct 16, 2026.

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.11% on Oct 16, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.11% on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 16, 2026, or one week following Oct 16, 2026.

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.13% on Oct 16, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.13% on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 16, 2026, or one week following Oct 16, 2026.

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.15% on Oct 16, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.15% on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 16, 2026, or one week following Oct 16, 2026.

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.17% on Oct 16, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.17% on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 16, 2026, or one week following Oct 16, 2026.

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.19% on Oct 16, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.19% on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 16, 2026, or one week following Oct 16, 2026.

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.21% on Oct 16, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.21% on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 16, 2026, or one week following Oct 16, 2026.

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.23% on Oct 16, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.23% on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 16, 2026, or one week following Oct 16, 2026.

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.25% on Oct 16, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.25% on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 16, 2026, or one week following Oct 16, 2026.

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.27% on Oct 16, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.27% on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 16, 2026, or one week following Oct 16, 2026.

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.29% on Oct 16, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.29% on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 16, 2026, or one week following Oct 16, 2026.

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.31% on Oct 16, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.31% on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 16, 2026, or one week following Oct 16, 2026.

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.33% on Oct 16, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.33% on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 16, 2026, or one week following Oct 16, 2026.