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Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?

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Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?
Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?
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Market snapshot: Nov 15, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

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31 markets tracked

Will it be confirmed that Bernie Sanders publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

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All Markets(31)
MarketOutcome price
Will it be confirmed that Bernie Sanders publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?
Yes 95.5%
Will it be confirmed that Peggy Flanagan publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?
Yes 92.5%
Will it be confirmed that Abdul El-Sayed publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?
Yes 83.5%
Will it be confirmed that Juliana Stratton publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?
Yes 67.5%
Will it be confirmed that Elizabeth Warren publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?
Yes 59.5%

Event Overview

Before Jan 3, 2027 If X publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. X senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. X senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. X route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. X person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

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Markets (31)

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KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Bernie Sanders publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Bernie Sanders publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Bernie Sanders publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome95.5%
Yes
Volume781.53 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Peggy Flanagan publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Peggy Flanagan publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Peggy Flanagan publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome92.5%
Yes
Volume1.0K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Abdul El-Sayed publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Abdul El-Sayed publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Abdul El-Sayed publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome83.5%
Yes
Volume428.01 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Juliana Stratton publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Juliana Stratton publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Juliana Stratton publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome67.5%
Yes
Volume1.2K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Elizabeth Warren publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Elizabeth Warren publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Elizabeth Warren publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome59.5%
Yes
Volume1.2K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Chris Murphy publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Chris Murphy publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Chris Murphy publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome55.5%
Yes
Volume606 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Troy Jackson publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Troy Jackson publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Troy Jackson publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome53.5%
Yes
Volume345.26 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Richard Blumenthal publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Richard Blumenthal publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Richard Blumenthal publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Tim Kaine publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Tim Kaine publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Tim Kaine publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome49.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Ruben Gallego publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Ruben Gallego publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Ruben Gallego publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome48.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Peter Welch publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Peter Welch publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Peter Welch publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome48.0%
Yes
Volume20.62 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Adam Hamilton publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Adam Hamilton publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Adam Hamilton publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome47.5%
Yes
Volume2.9K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Andy Kim publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Andy Kim publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Andy Kim publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome46.5%
Yes
Volume318.42 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Elissa Slotkin publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Elissa Slotkin publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Elissa Slotkin publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome44.0%
Yes
Volume400 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Raphael Warnock publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Raphael Warnock publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Raphael Warnock publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome43.0%
Yes
Volume200 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Martin Heinrich publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Martin Heinrich publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Martin Heinrich publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome42.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Cory Booker publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Cory Booker publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Cory Booker publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome42.5%
Yes
Volume20.89 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Jon Ossoff publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Jon Ossoff publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Jon Ossoff publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome41.0%
Yes
Volume526.19 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Tammy Duckworth publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Tammy Duckworth publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Tammy Duckworth publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome38.5%
Yes
Volume200 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Scott Colom publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Scott Colom publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Scott Colom publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome38.5%
Yes
Volume211 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Angela Alsobrooks publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Angela Alsobrooks publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Angela Alsobrooks publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome37.5%
Yes
Volume3.84 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Mark Kelly publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Mark Kelly publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Mark Kelly publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome37.5%
Yes
Volume131.26 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that James Talarico publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that James Talarico publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If James Talarico publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome37.5%
Yes
Volume981.8 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Chris Pappas publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Chris Pappas publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Chris Pappas publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome31.0%
Yes
Volume1.2K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Mark Warner publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Mark Warner publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Mark Warner publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome25.0%
Yes
Volume210 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Annie Andrews publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Annie Andrews publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Annie Andrews publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome21.0%
Yes
Volume2.0K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Maria Cantwell publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Maria Cantwell publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Maria Cantwell publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome20.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Mary Peltola publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Mary Peltola publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Mary Peltola publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome20.0%
Yes
Volume2.5K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Maggie Hassan publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Maggie Hassan publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Maggie Hassan publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome20.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that Kirsten Gillibrand publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that Kirsten Gillibrand publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If Kirsten Gillibrand publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome15.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be confirmed that John Fetterman publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

Will it be confirmed that John Fetterman publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him?

If John Fetterman publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. "The caucus vote" refers to the Senate Democratic caucus's vote on its leader for the 120th Congress. A senator backs Chris Van Hollen by publicly stating that they support him or plan to vote for him as leader. Support conditioned only on Chris Van Hollen remaining a candidate qualifies; support subject to any other condition does not. The market resolves to Yes if either of the following is confirmed: Backing Chris Van Hollen is the senator's public position when the caucus votes. By the end of the day after the vote, the senator says they voted for Chris Van Hollen, including saying "aye" on a voice vote. A senator's own account of their vote governs over earlier statements. A senator who says they voted against Chris Van Hollen, abstained, or did not vote for him resolves to No. A senator who had not publicly backed Chris Van Hollen before the vote resolves to No if, by the end of the day after the vote, they only say they support him going forward or decline to say whether they supported him. If Chris Van Hollen is elected by acclamation without a vote, only the first route applies. Once the day after the caucus elects its leader has ended, a senator who has met neither route above resolves to No, without waiting for Jan 3, 2027. A route met by then still counts if a Source Agency confirms it before the market settles. Each market resolves to No if Chris Van Hollen withdraws from the leadership election or the caucus does not elect its leader before Jan 3, 2027. A person who is not eligible to vote in the caucus vote as a senator or senator-elect, including a candidate whose Senate race has not been called by then, resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. It will also close early once the day after the Senate Democratic caucus elects its leader for the 120th Congress has ended.

Yes outcome10.0%
Yes
Volume15.63 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 10, 2027
View Details

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