
Before 2027 If X has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The exact dataset X is Y Z [ adjusted, domestic currency from the IMF. If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10:00 AM ET.
70%
$0.00
4

70%
$0.00
4
4 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Which countries will have recessions? (United Kingdom) | 70% |
Which countries will have recessions? (Japan) | 52% |
Which countries will have recessions? (India) | 12% |
Which countries will have recessions? (China) | 5% |